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A dearth of municipal issuance drove strong performance in November. Typical year-end outflows due to tax loss selling have yet to emerge. We expect firm demand to outpace modest issuance through year end. For further details see: Munis Make Up For A Rough Ride
With the odds against the Democrats winning both Senate seats in the Georgia runoff, the Biden administration will likely have to work with a Republican Senate majority to navigate various tax policy issues in the coming year. Infrastructure seems to be the one topic that a potentiall...
Many of the policies that a president will ultimately decide can be impactful. For example, tax policy, which could impact a state or local government's ability to raise their own taxes and impact demographics. But another impact is that it can also increase the attractiveness of munis as...
The media has been rife with headlines foretelling revenue shortfalls and a cash crisis for battered state budgets. We look under the hood to better assess the status of the headline-grabbing states with the largest debt burdens. Bond investors are right to be concerned. For...
Rising interest rates pressured bond prices in October. Record-high monthly issuance was well absorbed amid strong demand. We expect a favorable supply-demand backdrop through year end. For further details see: Munis Overcome A Glut Of Issuance
The White House is still not decided. This was "prime time" for the blue wave conversations entering the bond market. Municipal bonds aren't hurt as much as they are not helped. A second stimulus bill that would include additional aid for state and local governments will be ha...
In years with presidential elections, we take a deeper dive into how the national election could impact state and local governments. Political risk is also an important component of our analysis, as the political party makeup of the executive and legislative branches can have a large ...
While most polls have Vice-President Biden ahead by 6-7% points, we know the race has the potential to be much closer. A higher marginal rate should also flatten the muni yield curve over time as the demand for longer-dated paper increases because of the benefits it provides on a taxa...
In U.S. high yield bonds we find the riskiest of credits. I have some concerns about municipal bonds and am particularly concerned about municipal pension bonds. Our 'Borrower's Paradise' is also good news for many leveraged ETFs and closed-end funds. For further details see...
" Municipal bond investors have to share the burden in state bailouts " writes my colleague Josh Rauh, and he is exactly right. Background: State and local governments borrowed a lot of money and blew it. They borrowed further by not funding their pensions. Now Covid comes along, people are ...
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2024-07-14 06:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-24 09:48:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-02 18:56:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...