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2023-06-06 04:39:00 ET Summary The Fed may not raise rates in July, as inflation is expected to continue to decline. Housing prices have been falling for the past 18 months, which will lead to negative Owner's Equivalent Rent component of the CPI in the coming months. The econ...
2023-06-05 19:35:00 ET Summary The US may be adding jobs in huge numbers, but the key ISM business surveys cast serious doubt on how long this can last. The manufacturing ISM index is already indicating recession and the service sector will soon join it unless order books turn aro...
2023-06-02 22:30:00 ET Summary The service sector has historically kept the US economy afloat during manufacturing contractions, allowing for a "soft landing" scenario. The monetary conditions index suggests economic growth will pick up later this year, which could explain the sto...
2023-06-02 03:05:00 ET Summary Recessions are generally associated with lousy labor markets. Unlike many other countries, the US official (NBER) definition of recession does not involve two negative quarters, but lots of people wrongly believe it does. It will be interesting t...
2023-05-31 00:08:16 ET Summary The Russell 2000 is currently underperforming but is expected to advance in the next few months, with RWM potentially being a better ETF to use in the next market downturn. While we expect another decline in a few months, Money managers and dealers' ...
2023-05-24 10:45:00 ET Summary Rarely in the history of US economic analysis have recession forecasts been so plentiful and widely embraced. This week’s issue of the newsletter sent to subscribers continues to report a firmer reading of economic activity for the immediate f...
2023-05-22 10:30:00 ET Summary We’ve seen this movie before... gold did ok, but what about stocks? The last time we saw this preference for gold was 10 years ago. Why? Waiting for the last shoe to drop is not a recipe for market success. Markets are forward-loo...
2023-05-20 07:00:00 ET Summary In the US, recent growth has been positive, the labor market has been resilient, and inflation appears to have peaked. Despite current rosy macro data, many forecasters see two clouds on the horizon: recession and inflation. Acknowledging the goo...
2023-05-20 04:30:00 ET Summary So far, the world of investing in 2023 is proving to be very different from 2022. In early May, the Fed raised interest rates above 5% for the first time since 2007. Investors are asking questions about whether rates will stop rising and if infla...
2023-05-20 01:00:00 ET Summary Could massive monetary support have softened the deep bear market many expected? It is an interesting question. Particularly given the Fed has hiked rates at one of the most aggressive paces in history. Combined with inverted yield curves, surgin...
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2024-07-09 05:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-09 07:52:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-28 15:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...