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The market valuation bubble has leaked but hasn't popped. The market has dipped below its 50-day moving average. After racking up 54 new highs this year, the market is drifting lower. Consumer confidence is falling. Covid deaths are high and rising. The housing market boom is cool...
As three rounds of “stimulus payments” got spent, households returned to spending on credit. While the monthly cost of the mortgage and health insurance may not change, the rest of the necessities do. Most Americans cannot increase consumption, the driver of economic...
Too many market participants are hyper-focused on the inflation argument. Whether we have inflation or not is not determinative as to the direction of the stock market. I outline the purist definition of inflation and apply it to our current situation. But, the market is head...
Regardless of what happens with the economy and bonds over the rest of the year, we are nearing peak exuberance in stocks. Most people fear that a slowing economy will be the trigger for a stock market selloff, but that may be the wrong worry. Bear markets are generally associated wit...
This week was a Triple Witch Week in the markets. Triple Witches are the four days in the calendar year that feature the expiration of four different option indices. While the volume was and still is quite large on Triple Witches, the volatility is usually pretty subdued. The thing to...
This week's Sentiment Survey report by the American Association of Individual Investors showed bullish sentiment fell over 16 percentage points to 22.45% versus the prior week. This is the lowest bullishness reading since the end of July 2020 reading of 20.23%. For further detai...
Is September as bad for stocks as the media would have you believe? Is a significant correction imminent, and does the "September effect" make it more likely? The bifurcated market... the shoe may be moving to the other foot. For further details see: The Worst Month For ...
With year-end just several months away, money managers great and small are focused laser-like on year-end returns. But the environment is looking a little twitchier as Q4 approaches. Peak growth, sticky inflation, ongoing supply chain problems, high valuations and potentially disrupti...
The language being using to describe this market is "frustrating, but not fatal." The headline indexes have continued to grind higher, but this is a market that has been correcting, consolidating, and churning under the surface for most of the summer. The idea of an economic “g...
The latest numbers from the Atlanta Fed indicate that wage growth is continuing to pick up, with August wages up 3.9%, based on a three-month moving average. The latest small-business sentiment survey from the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) shows that the record av...
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2024-07-09 05:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-09 07:52:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-28 15:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...