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The Fed’s new forecasts still imply an expectation that the currently elevated pace of inflation will fall back toward the central bank’s longer-term 2% target in 2022. Although the currently elevated level of inflation is still forecast to moderate in 2022, FOMC members...
Initial claims for regular state unemployment insurance totaled 351,000 for the week ending September 18, a rise of 16,000 from the previous week’s revised tally of 335,000. Conversely, some areas of economic activity continue to expand, particularly the manufacturing sector, a...
Two factors influenced the US stock markets in Q3. They are the Delta variant and tapering (Fed policy). They’re related. The evidence about a rapid deterioration in labor force participation mounts as incoming information confirms that Delta-induced fear is influencing US labo...
The housing construction industry is maxed out. Fed said that current high inflation is “largely reflecting transitory factors.”. High inflation correlates with a more volatile economy. For further details see: Federal Reserve Not Tapering Means More Cycles...
The FOMC was "hawkish" relative to expectations. A 6-10 month tapering program is coming this year. The FOMC "DOTs" implied a stronger chance of rate hikes in 2022. The yield curve flattened in response to the relatively hawkish policy stance. Tightening into a slowdown br...
Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This report optimizes tradi...
Another FOMC meeting is now “in the books,” as the policy makers just completed their September convocation. Once again, from a broader perspective, there were no official changes announced following today’s meeting regarding the Fed Funds Rate and its quantitativ...
United States exports will grow at a slow pace in 2022, with improvement in 2023. Key factors will be the Covid-19 pandemic, how our largest trading partners fare economically, and the path for the dollar. Total international trade fell sharply in the pandemic, with most countries...
The 'debt ceiling' is akin to economic self-harm. Fund flow from both the Treasury and the private banks has slowed. The uncertainty around the debt ceiling has started to be reflected in the stock market. If the Senate blocks the raising of the debt ceiling, then stock weakne...
With all the debate about the persistence of inflation, one natural thing to ask is: what is the market pricing? The “breakeven inflation rate” on an inflation-indexed bond (in this case, U.S. TIPS) is that future rate of inflation that gives the same total return as nom...
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2024-07-09 05:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-09 07:52:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-28 15:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...