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2023-04-04 05:16:00 ET Summary The way we understand the tech economy is changing dramatically. While we can’t be sure if it is or is not too soon to enter the highest-quality REIT space, we know for sure it is not too late. Near-term challenges create volatility; long-...
2023-04-03 18:41:00 ET Summary The S&P 500 closed out the first quarter of 2023 on a high note, rising 1.4% on Friday, 31 March 2023 to end the week up by 3.5% from its previous week's close. Reports of cooling inflation as measured by Personal Consumption Expenditures on Frid...
2023-04-02 03:43:00 ET Summary Bank shares plunged in the wake of the SVB meltdown, for understandable reasons, while Big Tech was off to the races, for reasons we will explore in further detail below. Stock price valuations are heavily influenced by interest rates, and a reductio...
2023-04-01 10:29:00 ET Summary The S&P 500 earnings yield fell to 5.37% this week, but it should increase with the 'quarterly bump' next week in the FFQE. The only sector to see an increase in the expected full-year 2023 EPS growth (so far in 2023) is Communication Services. ...
2023-03-30 00:14:00 ET Summary The technology business cycle could have a slower-than-expected recovery, though we remain constructive over the long term. Certain parts of the IT sector, such as PCs, are showing early signs of bottoming, although the pace of recovery is uncertain,...
2023-03-29 03:27:00 ET Summary We believe credit fundamentals should weaken in the unfolding environment, but to a manageable extent, given their strong starting point. Recent results show companies meeting lowered expectations with a slowing macro environment weighing on forward ...
2023-03-29 01:49:00 ET Summary The action in the bond market suggests that traders are increasingly betting on a recession and a Federal Reserve easing of rates in the US. When bond yield fell in December 2022, potential home buyers who had been on the fence took the plunge. T...
2023-03-29 01:35:00 ET Summary Investors are asking if the tide is still going out, whether credit seizures in the economy and markets are getting worse, or if the situation is improving. A comparison of the pace of investment grade debt issuance in 2022 and 2023 reveals a flatlin...
2023-03-28 04:55:00 ET Summary The S&P 500 earnings yield is 5.57% vs last week’s 5.66% and as of 12.31.22, 5.81%. Obviously, we are most interested in what’s happened since March 6, 2023, or around the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, and as readers can see, the...
2023-03-28 03:45:00 ET Summary The S&P 500 climbed 1.4% from the previous week's close to wrap up the trading week ending Friday, 24 March 2023 at 3970.99. During the week, dividend futures rebounded from the previous week's low for the quarter. With the increased focus on...