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2023-05-21 08:54:00 ET Summary While the Fed is able to obscure its capital losses by valuing its assets at cost, there’s one item the Fed isn’t able to completely bury in its balance sheet accounting. Regardless of the level of valuations, an improvement in the unif...
2023-05-19 03:22:00 ET Summary On May 18th for instance, the initial claims data again disappointed many by indicating economic activity remains strong. The worry is that “the job market will not quit”. High investor pessimism is reflected in the record Retail Money ...
2023-05-17 22:05:00 ET Summary Despite the stock market rally so far in 2023, the S&P 500 Index has not come close to regaining its all-time high put in early last year. The stock/bond ratio has soared to new highs. It would appear that stocks need bonds to rally hard and ...
2023-05-17 12:32:00 ET Summary After the Silicon Valley Bank run in the first quarter of 2023, dividend futures quickly collapsed. When we last presented 2023's dividend futures, the dividends expected in 2023-Q4 had recovered to $16.41 per share as the risk of more bank fail...
2023-05-16 17:03:00 ET Summary The latest tech earnings: better than feared. The shift by big tech to AI and what it means for the sector. AI has already started impacting jobs at tech firms. The big tech names have outperformed expectations this year, and th...
2023-05-16 14:35:00 ET Summary Both the Consumer Price Index and Producer Price Index data for April confirmed that the strong but lumpy disinflationary trend continues. The US is now at a point where the Fed funds rate exceeds inflation. Historically that has signaled the end of ...
2023-05-16 10:30:00 ET Summary Looking forward to the end of 2023, expectations for the index's future earnings per share have increased from $199.28 to $203.50. Earnings at that level would correspond to a full recovery to the level of earnings recorded in March 2022, which marks...
2023-05-16 02:35:00 ET Summary The current economic and investing environment remains one of the most challenging and difficult to navigate in recent times. With inflation and wage growth at current levels, we likely require a material amount of pain to be felt within the equity a...
2023-05-15 14:35:00 ET Summary The financial sector hasn’t seen much degradation of its expected 2023 growth rate of +13%, even with the regional bank issues. Despite the headlines, negative EPS revisions for the energy sector have been far worse than for the financial sect...
2023-05-15 13:49:00 ET Summary After the previous week's Fed-driven volatile action, investors got some relief in the second week of May 2023. Despite the relative stillness, there wasn't enough positive news to offset the negative to boost the U.S. stock market higher. The ma...