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Are we heading for a recession? What even is a recession? Is the macro data supportive? For further details see: A Rising Risk Of Recession?
The concerns rest on the fact that global manufacturing growth has weakened amid ongoing supply constraints and soaring prices, leaving growth reliant on the service sector. May saw the S&P Global US Composite PMI fall from 56.0 to a four-month low of 53.6. Although economic g...
Many investors will no doubt appreciate the extra day of peace and quiet after a week of seemingly unrelenting turbulence, and the chance to think ahead as to what may lie in store. Profit margins are what everyone will be focusing on with laser-like intensity in the upcoming earnings...
Inventories of new vehicles at dealers are still desperately short, even as sales have plunged due to vehicle shortages. The number of new vehicles in inventory on dealer lots remained at 1.13 million at the end of May, down by 70%, or by 2.68 million vehicles, from the same period in...
The outlook is turning grim for the US economy, or so a range of soft data and forecasts advise. Sentiment is a factor in economics, and on that front, there are increasing signs of mood swing to the downside. A lot can go wrong for the economy in the months ahead, but it’s...
The FOMC hiked rates 75 bps Wednesday, the largest rate boost since Greenspan’s lone 75 bps move more than 27 years ago (November 1994). For anything bigger, it’s back to the Volcker era. The 1994 tightening cycle and attendant acute bond/derivatives market upheaval fund...
After months of fretting about soaring inflation, markets are now fully in recession-fear mode. Yield curves are flattening, credit spreads are widening, and equities are slumping - traditional recession alerts. Meanwhile, captains of industry and finance are warning of impending ...
The World Bank downgraded its 2022 global growth estimate to 2.9%—the bank originally forecasted a 4.1% increase back in January. The ECB announced that it will raise interest rates next month for the first time in more than a decade. Domestic equity funds this last week re...
Investors need to start ratcheting down earnings expectations and what the market is willing to pay for them. The policy errors cited in 2021 are now on full display, and an "Inflationary Recession" looms. An ongoing anti-business climate will continue to have negative ramificatio...
High frequency indicators can give us a nearly up-to-the-moment view of the economy. The metrics are divided into long leading, short leading, and coincident indicators. There were more downgrades in several time frames this week. In particular, a number of short leading indic...
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2024-06-14 11:28:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-23 21:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-13 21:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...