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The University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index's preliminary estimate for June plunged to a record low. The good news from all this bad news is that “contrarian theory” says that when sentiment reaches such historic lows, the only way it can go is up. T...
We see the Fed on a path to raise rates far enough this year to hurt growth. The U.S. activity restart from the pandemic could grind to a halt in coming quarters. The Fed lifted rates by 0.75% in a rush to normalize policy, its biggest hike since 1994. Other central banks joined, send...
During the height of the pandemic, consumers bought more goods than before because access to certain services was constrained, which exacerbated the problem with supply chains. As the service industry restaffs, especially in the hospitality and travel sectors, a considerable number of...
Success in investing over the long term isn’t just about picking winners. By adopting a balanced diversified approach, your portfolio stands a better chance of achieving a stable return over time. In a rapid rising environment for equity markets, we expect fixed income to u...
Chairman Powell made it clear in the FOMC post meeting press conference that the Committee is now frontloading return of its target federal funds rate range to a more “normal” position. The FOMC’s 75-basis-point increase in the target range on Wednesday is a tacit...
Cryptocurrencies are bid this morning, and US markets are reopening with a bounce following the steepest losses since March 2020. Short interest bets have now piled on, which can set the stage for a sharp rebound. Rebounds will likely be fleeting as long as central banks remain in...
The 390,000 jobs created in May amounted to a solid report, a sigh of relief for a country battling stubbornly high gas prices and $7 Cheerios. Super-low unemployment often comes at the end of the good times, not the beginning. I think it’s safe to say that the market has b...
Through the end of the trading week ending 17 June 2022, the S&P index was 23.4% below its 3 January 2022 record high peak. From our perspective, after the May 2022 inflation report came in higher than expected, investors sent the S&P 500 lower in a new Lévy flight event,...
Investors have been making net outflows from safe havens of all kinds including U.S. Treasuries, currencies, emerging-market government bond funds, as well as other government-guaranteed funds. Most of this money has gone into buying still-very-overvalued large-cap growth shares and f...
Federal Reserve and government officials who insist a soft landing is possible are really asking, "Who you gonna believe, me or your own eyes?". The next thing investors hear may be the sound of something breaking as financial markets stay stressed and the real economy deteriorates fu...
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2024-06-14 11:28:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-23 21:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-13 21:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...