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Gold has broken out of a technical wedge. Silver is likely to follow. Russia/Ukraine and Canada situations present uncertainty. 7.5% year over year CPI and rates still on the floor. For further details see: Global Uncertainty Could Push Metals Higher
We have some mixed markets based on the news from Russia. All the tensions and rhetoric could be hiding what is beneath it all. If Russia invades Ukraine, Russian oil and gas may be kept off the market and crude oil could hit $100. We are starting to see that the global econom...
With January’s 7.5% headline CPI reading coming in as the highest inflation number in nearly 40 years, now seems an opportune time to assess the outlook for inflation. Understanding where inflation is heading is not only important from an economic perspective, but the direction...
Gold has been resilient at the $1800 level, even with China closed for this week in observance of the Lunar New Year. Premiums for sovereign minted silver bullion coins have risen considerably over the last few weeks. The Fed will eventually have to reverse its monetary policy sta...
Rate hike expectations soared. The dollar has completely erased its gains and then some. Despite the volatility today, the risk of a deflationary event is rising, which would see peak everything. For further details see: Volatility Spikes, Deflationary Event Pending?
The headlines today are related to inflation. Eurozone inflation hit new record highs of 5.1 percent putting pressure on central banks to raise rates. The markets are being affected. It is forcing many investors to liquidate their positions as a result of margin calls. The mar...
After a number of failed recoveries over the past few months, silver is once again at the lower end of its range, and I am adding to my positions. While the metal is still up 95% since its March 2020 low, this is less than the 107% rise seen in the Bloomberg commodity complex. Thi...
The markets and the eight-figure Wall Street sell-side economists all believe that the Fed is about to embark upon an aggressive course of rate hikes. A total of seven rate hikes would place the Fed funds (overnight) in a range of 1.75-2.00%. The Fed is promising to start hiking t...
Global silver production increased in 2021, primarily coming from Peru. Global silver reserves increased in 2021, primarily coming from Peru. Declining primary silver supply is being replaced with by-product silver supply. For further details see: USGS 2022 Report: Silve...
Relative abundance of gold indicates a soft market, and likely precedes a falling price. Relative scarcity indicates a stronger market, and typically precedes a rising price. This analysis helps predict the price for the short term, because the model focuses on what is happening. But ...