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Summary The key feature of bubble symmetry is the entire bubble retraces in roughly the same time frame as it took to soar to absurd heights. At the peak and for some time after, bubbles are viewed as the natural order of markets and so they should continue expanding forever. But th...
Summary Has the heyday for office real estate passed? How a recession may impact commercial real estate. Why Asia is an outlier when it comes to returning to the office. Pandemic restrictions have mostly been lifted, but the rush to return to the office may not h...
Summary The surge in mortgage rates has resulted in a steep drop in home buyer demand while supply of homes for sales is on a gradual rise. As a result, home prices are now falling in every major city. With house price-to-incomes ratios remaining stretched by historical standards, f...
Summary Real estate earnings season kicks into gear this week, and over the next month, we'll hear results from 175 equity REITs, 40 mortgage REITs, and dozens of housing industry companies. REITs enter earnings season with some momentum amid the recent moderation in interest rates and ...
Summary U.S. equity markets resumed their rebound this past week as investors parsed a busy slate of corporate earnings results and economic data ahead of the Federal Reserve's rate hike decision. Gaining for the third week in the past four, the S&P 500 advanced 2.5% on the week whi...
Summary Despite delivering the strongest earnings growth of any property sector in 2022, Self-Storage REITs have stumbled of late amid a post-pandemic demand normalization and pressure from elevated supply growth. Storage demand is driven largely by housing activity – specificall...
Summary Political Calculations' initial estimate of the market capitalization of the U.S. new home market was $24.24 billion in December 2022. Since August 2022, the Census Bureau has been reporting substantial reductions in the number of sales with each revision. Based on recent pa...
Summary Despite lingering recession concerns and recent travel disruptions, Hotel REITs have been among the better-performing sectors over the past year, buoyed by steady post-pandemic operating improvement fueling long-awaited dividend resumptions. Several years of pent-up leisure dema...
Summary U.S. housing affordability worsened considerably in 2022, driven by expensive home prices and soaring mortgage rates. With the Federal Reserve remaining focused on inflation, a quick recovery from here is unlikely - yet another headwind for the U.S. economy in 2023. U.S. hou...
Summary The first and easiest leg of the bursting of the bubble we called for a year ago is complete. While the most extreme froth has been wiped off the market, valuations are still nowhere near their long-term averages. For those with a longer horizon than average, I believe stock...
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2024-06-24 12:06:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-02 21:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-04 23:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...