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With the world economy still recovering from the COVID-19 pandemic and now dealing with the Ukraine-Russia crisis, markets face a great deal of uncertainty. We look at capital structure, market characteristics, sustainability, physical resilience and cash flow variability when determi...
Only one major asset was up last week: REITs. There were some negative developments that might explain the selling. With the drop in commodities and fears about the impact of the China slowdown, the immediate effect should be for inflation and growth expectations to moderate. We didn&...
Historically, a recession followed when 50% or more of the tracked yield curves became inverted. Every time. Interestingly, many of the data points suggesting the “economy is booming” are lagging indicators subject to significant negative revisions in the future. Eve...
U.S. equity markets declined for a third-straight week while the bond rout deepened as a solid start to the corporate earnings season did little to ease concerns over an increasingly hawkish Fed. Declining for the third-straight week, the S&P 500 fell 2.7% and dipped back into "co...
US Treasury yields have continued to move higher with mortgage rates rising in tow. Bankrate.com’s national average for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage has now eclipsed 5.25% in the past week which is an over 2 percentage point increase year over year. Higher rates mean less ...
Are rising rates starting to slow the red-hot housing market? Inflation in Canada hits 31-year high. Could COVID-19 lockdowns cause China to miss its growth target? For further details see: Is China's 2022 Growth Target Still Attainable?
Today, I feel bearish and I think new buyers need to be extremely prudent in navigating their home purchasing decision. In recent months, I’ve noticed a consistent trend - benign houses that were $1MM in 2016 are now selling for $2MM. Consumer balance sheets are much health...
Real estate earnings season kicks off this week, and over the next month, we'll hear results from 175 equity REITs, 40 mortgage REITs, and dozens of housing industry companies. Despite the historic surge in interest rates over the past quarter driven by expectations of Fed monetary ti...
Builders started construction on 147,400 privately owned housing units of all types in March, the biggest March since 2006. Construction starts of units in buildings with five or more units rose to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 574,000 units. However, when investors buy hou...
Higher housing costs have been triggered by rising incomes enabling people to ditch their roommates. The current market differs greatly from the early 2000s when new home construction was triggered by speculation. In 2021, 1.6 million new housing units were started, compared to 1....
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2024-06-24 12:06:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-02 21:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-04 23:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...