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2023-07-26 19:55:00 ET Summary The Fed unanimously hiked its policy interest rate range 25bp as widely expected with the statement retaining the phrasing that further policy firming “may be appropriate”. With two months’ worth of data to come before the next F...
2023-07-26 13:08:00 ET Summary For those who pay attention to risk/reward dynamics, the prospective compensation for equity risk over Treasury bonds is today the lowest since the market peak in 2007-08. US Conference Board Leading Economic Indicator (LEI below in red since 1967) c...
2023-07-26 04:30:00 ET Summary I expect the Federal Reserve to raise rates one more time this week before finally ending this long and grueling rake hike cycle. Many expect the Bank of Japan to alter its yield curve control policy, but I’m skeptical that it will happen at t...
2023-07-25 22:15:00 ET Summary The Fed is meeting on July 24–25, and it will not yet have received the first estimate of Q2 2023 growth, which comes out on July 26, the day after the meeting is concluded. The Committee’s PCE preferred measure stood at 3.8% on a downw...
2023-07-25 05:30:00 ET Summary The predictive power of the yield curve is a widely accepted causal narrative, but history shows that the causal correlation between long and short rates is actually quite weak. While long and short rates tend to move in the same direction, they do s...
2023-07-25 03:29:00 ET Summary Economic resilience has continued through the first half of 2023, primarily driven by strong household balance sheets, strong wage growth. The leading indicators of coincident and lagging economic data suggest we should see hard data points like indu...
2023-07-24 23:27:00 ET Summary After dropping over 2% last week, the US Dollar rebounded some to take it back above its Bollinger band. As for the 10-year Treasury yield, its uptrend remains on track, both in the short and intermediate term, this following last week’s close...
2023-07-24 22:24:00 ET Summary Equity and fixed income markets experienced heightened volatility amid the Q2 debt-ceiling saga, while currency and derivatives markets were mostly unaffected. Regional banks struggled in Q2, with deposits and witnessed credit spreads widening by 100...
2023-07-24 21:44:00 ET Summary We believe the five primary economic and market signals that provide perspective on where we go from here are GDP growth, earnings, interest rates, inflation and central bank policy. While some argue that elevated inflation remains a primary concern ...
2023-07-21 07:45:00 ET Summary The Federal Reserve is set to resume its policy tightening on 26 July. Inflation is moderating but remains well above target, and with a tight jobs market and resilient activity, officials may feel they can't take any chances. The Fed will contin...
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2024-07-24 11:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-14 13:16:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-13 23:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...