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2023-08-07 18:55:00 ET Summary The stock market was down a little over 2% last week in what may be the start of a larger correction. In the 1970 recession, rates rose right until the onset of recession and hit a new high for that cycle during the recession. The employment repo...
2023-08-06 03:41:00 ET Summary The US economy continued to move forward in July, although some portions, especially manufacturing, are stumbling. While job growth remained solid in June, nonfarm payrolls rose by 209,000 for June, the smallest increase since the end of the Covid re...
2023-08-06 03:35:00 ET Summary The two-year versus 10-year Treasury spread narrowed 20 bps this week, the largest narrowing since the banking crisis week of March 17th. The market's probability for a 25 bps rate increase at the Fed’s September 20th meeting dropped from 19% ...
2023-08-06 02:50:00 ET Summary Fitch Ratings downgraded the US government's credit rating to AA+ from AAA, citing the large government deficit and the standoff over the debt ceiling. The downgrade is reminiscent of the 2011 downgrade by Standard & Poor's, which led to a drop i...
2023-08-03 11:00:00 ET Summary Elliot wave expert Avi Gilburt discusses potential for major melt-up in the metals market and a multi-year rally in oil. Waiting for specific setups in the metals and why the 3rd wave is the strongest segment of any market rally. The bond market ...
2023-08-03 09:00:00 ET Summary The US money supply contracted at a slightly slower pace during the latest month for which there are monetary data. Continuing the QT program at the current rate would remove about $380B from the money supply over the remainder of this year. One ...
2023-08-03 06:15:50 ET Billionaire investor Bill Ackman's hedge fund Pershing Square Capital Management is betting against 30-year U.S. Treasuries, calling it a hedge on the impact of higher long-term rates on stocks as well as a "high probability" standalone bet. "There ...
2023-08-02 09:20:00 ET Summary At the FOMC’s post-meeting press conference Steve Matthews of Bloomberg suggested that Wall Street had become more confident in the prospects for a soft landing. He wondered whether the staff or Chairman Powell had modified their views on the ...
2023-08-02 06:30:00 ET Summary The BoJ is playing a tactical game here, injecting an element of uncertainty into the markets. In the context of the US Treasury market, the impact is equally as complex. The BoJ’s policy twists and turns could have noteworthy implications...
2023-08-02 05:35:00 ET Summary As our conversation about the Federal Reserve (Fed) continues, officials have made it clear that they’re committed to lowering inflation. The Fed has three more scheduled meetings this calendar year, the next being in September. All three ...
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2024-06-14 13:16:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-13 23:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-14 13:26:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...