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2023-10-23 11:05:00 ET Summary Yields on the US 10-year are up nearly 150bp since April, within touching distance of 5%, and 30-year yields are now just over 5%, up from 3.7% in April. The two-year yield is up just 100bp over the same period. The yield curve has bear-steepened by ...
2023-10-23 10:00:00 ET Summary There is nothing wrong with fighting the Fed. The aggressive rate hike caused massive losses in the system, while the US Treasury putting even more pressure on the debt market. The Fed is still fighting persistent inflation, it would be a crucial...
2023-10-23 09:45:00 ET Summary During most extended market selloffs, the majority of trading days exhibit negative gamma, exposing the market to news events. The sell-off prompts options traders to scramble to keep up with the market’s movements, often resulting in compelle...
2023-10-21 09:00:00 ET Summary Long-term borrowers, including home buyers and businesses looking for term debt, wonder why today’s interest rates are so high and when they will fall. Long-term rates may also be influenced by global factors. Long-term rates in Europe and...
2023-10-21 01:50:00 ET Summary 10-year Treasury yield this week has been bellying up to the five percent level last seen in the summer of 2007. The rush to lock in yields when the 10-year was around 3.5 percent, which is where it was at the start of this year, was not irrational. ...
2023-10-20 20:09:00 ET Summary In terms of the overall economic outlook, the participants saw the economy expanding at a solid pace and exhibiting resilience, but growth was expected to slow, in part due to the restrictive nature of policy. Inflation is slowing, but further progre...
2023-10-20 03:00:00 ET Summary The US 10-year Treasury yield has jumped from 3.75% in the third week of July to a recent high of 4.81%. Armed with estimates of the real neutral interest rate and expected inflation, subtracting those two numbers from the observed bond yield gets yo...
2023-10-20 02:55:00 ET Summary The Israel-Gaza war adds to already elevated uncertainty. A major escalation in the conflict would make a material difference to economic prospects and our forecasts. 2024 inflation forecasts have been revised upward again across most reg...
2023-10-18 23:15:00 ET Summary Money supply growth fell again in August, remaining deep in negative territory after turning negative in November 2022 for the first time in twenty-eight years. Since April 2021, money supply growth has slowed quickly, and since November, we've been ...
2023-10-18 20:55:00 ET Summary With all the attention given to the recent surge in Treasury (UST) yields, there has been an interesting by-product in the process: steepening yield curves. Remember when inverted yield curves were all the rage, and their historical track record was ...
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2024-06-14 13:16:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-13 23:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-14 13:26:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...