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2024-02-13 02:03:00 ET Summary There are some similarities between then and now, but not so much in the stock market. The short-term trend of the 10-year yield is now neutral, having broken the short-term downtrend. In the shorter term, sentiment is now too bullish and a corre...
2024-02-13 00:40:00 ET Summary Bull markets naturally climb a “wall of worry,” and the latest worries center around escalating wars, the presidential race, and delays in Fed rate cuts. Shipping disruptions in the Red Sea are not adversely impacting the U.S., but they...
2024-02-11 12:01:00 ET Summary Markets are sitting near record highs. Global conflicts, elections and AI development are all risks. Economic strength may lead to more market breadth. How should investors be thinking about the recent run higher in stocks? MoneyTalk&...
2024-02-11 10:07:22 ET Summary It generally takes a few years for changes in Federal Reserve rates to fully impact bond fund dividends. Bond funds are still benefitting from prior rate hikes. Perhaps by enough to cancel out any future rate cuts. By my estimations, and under cu...
2024-02-11 06:59:00 ET Summary The Fed had an FOMC meeting earlier this week, and a lot of people were saying the Fed was hawkish. I would say that the Fed was being more conservative, more cautious. It’s been a mixed bag with big tech, but nonetheless they are hitting thei...
2024-02-09 21:51:00 ET Summary Markets are already discounting considerable central bank interest rate cuts in 2024. Are these expectations realistic, given the relatively soft landings for the G7 economies? Is the next easing cycle likely to be qualitatively and quantitativel...
2024-02-09 09:30:00 ET Summary Strong GDP and jobs growth shows that the US economy continues to shrug off high borrowing costs and tight credit conditions, largely through robust government spending and consumers running down their savings. These factors will be less supportive i...
2024-02-08 09:59:00 ET Summary The brief banking panic is behind us - at least until we get the next one. In front of us is a Fed in a holding pattern, and a May cut is now being questioned. As the Fed strip nudges higher, so too does the US 10yr yield. The 4.25% to 4.5% area ...
2024-02-08 04:17:00 ET Summary US productivity growth accelerated sharply over the course of 2023. Financial markets have been paying close attention to various measures of inflation, wage growth, gyrations in employment and unemployment, and consumer and business confidence. Over...
2024-02-08 04:00:00 ET Summary After the release of the January Employment Situation report, it must have felt like Groundhog Day for the U.S. Treasury market. Heading into the January release, there had been some conjecture that the annual revisions could potentially reveal a slo...
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2024-06-14 13:16:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-13 23:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-14 13:26:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...