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2024-02-22 12:30:00 ET Summary Both US Consumer Price Index and US Producer Price Index data for January were hotter than expected, but it was no cause for concern, in my opinion. The most recent gross domestic product prints for Japan and the UK show that both economies were tech...
2024-02-21 11:11:00 ET Summary The latest inflation data is sticky, but the markets have only delayed rather than canceled expectations for that the Federal Reserve will start trimming interest rates in the near future. The Treasury market continues to price in rate cuts as well, ...
2024-02-21 00:04:00 ET Summary Clearly, the markets believe the next move will be toward lower rates, but no one should be surprised by the fact that a rate increase is possible. Two years ago, almost no one correctly forecast the recent path of interest rates. Recent policy e...
2024-02-20 20:20:00 ET Summary The biggest economic news last week was that the Labor Department reported on Tuesday that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.3% in January and 3.1% in the past 12 months. Overall, the annual pace of the CPI continues to decelerate, but not at the...
2024-02-20 15:19:00 ET Summary Investing has numerous known unknowns and unknown unknowns, making it difficult to know anything for sure. The only things we know for sure in investing are the things we can directly observe. The movements of interest rate and the dollar are, at...
2024-02-19 23:46:00 ET Summary The Producer Price Index dished up another nasty surprise, with the Services PPI leaping by 7.1% annualized, and with the Finished Goods PPI jumping by 4% annualized in January. During the current tightening cycle, the 2-year yield started rising in ...
2024-02-18 21:32:00 ET Summary It is that after trying to figure out whether the economy and markets would achieve a soft landing in the wake of the post-Covid tightening cycle, no one quite knows what to think now that the soft landing appears to have arrived. By and large, leadi...
2024-02-18 18:35:00 ET Summary The underlying floor of our coming markets continues to be the Fed and when they might lower interest rates. CBS reports that Americans now owe a collective $1.13 trillion on their credit cards, with an average balance of $6,360. The Fed’s...
2024-02-16 20:35:00 ET Summary The January Consumer Price Index and Producer Price Index inflation reports both came in hotter than expected - underscoring the challenge of reaching the Fed's 2% inflation target. Policymakers have repeatedly noted the need for additional evidence ...
2024-02-14 20:16:00 ET Summary There is a belief that whatever happens to the Fed Funds Rate will be passed along to the Treasury yield curve in a similar fashion. A maturity structure that is not too far removed from the Fed Funds Rate will be anchored and directly linked to tren...
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2024-07-24 11:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-14 13:16:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-13 23:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...