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2024-03-19 13:10:00 ET Summary Last week's sticky inflation news raises doubts about a June cut in interest rates by the Federal Reserve. Using Fed funds futures as a proxy for market sentiment indicates a roughly 60% probability that the central bank cuts at its June 12 meeting. ...
2024-03-19 12:20:00 ET Summary Rising liquidity, a resilient economy and strong household balance sheets have supported corporate earnings and stocks over the past year. And, while the leading indicators of the business cycle suggest a rebound in growth is likely later in 2024, th...
2024-03-15 12:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-14 17:00:00 ET Summary While there is little prospect of an imminent policy change, the Federal Reserve thinks it will likely be appropriate to cut rates and move its stance towards a more neutral footing later this year, assuming the data cooperates. Monetary policy is in...
2024-03-14 12:20:00 ET Summary The mixed news on inflation earlier this week didn’t help, but neither did sticky inflation news derail expectations that the Federal Reserve will start cutting interest rates in June. Uncertainty about the timing is creeping higher, as a conf...
2024-03-14 02:00:00 ET Summary Despite widespread expectations of a recession, the macro backdrop in the U.S. has remained favorable to start 2024. In recent months, many company management teams reported that they feel their company – along with the economy as a whole ...
2024-03-14 00:05:00 ET Summary The Bureau of Labor Statistics announced the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased 0.4 percent in February and 3.2 percent year-over-year, exceeding many economists’ predictions. Much of the increase is due to shelter and gasoline prices, which...
2024-03-13 12:30:00 ET Summary The Bank of Canada is reluctant to be a first mover on rate cuts and remains anxious about inflation, despite a loosening labor market. ECB President Christine Lagarde said the bank is making good progress toward its inflation target and is feeling m...
2024-03-13 10:50:00 ET Summary The combination of the ISM Manufacturing New Orders Index and the yield curve has been warning of imminent recession since September 2023. The March 2024 new high for the SPX suggests that a recession will not start any sooner than May 2024. By o...
2024-03-12 22:40:00 ET Summary Tuesday’s CPI report came in a touch hotter than expected at 3.2% on the headline and 3.8% on the core. Bonds sold off on the news as investors started to project the likelihood of later rate cuts. It’s worth keeping the big picture...
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2024-07-24 11:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-14 13:16:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-13 23:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...