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2024-07-01 14:20:00 ET Summary Every multi-year bull market in U.S. history eventually becomes overheated with above-average inflation. This is followed by a choppy, dramatic slowdown during which inflation unevenly declines while GDP growth decelerates and eventually goes negative. ...
2024-07-01 08:20:00 ET Summary Energy stocks were the best performer of the week, up 2.4% as crude oil rose 1%. On a sector basis, only three sectors beat the index this quarter, and all of them are AI-related in some way. Diversified strategies and the S&P 500 really star...
2024-06-30 12:50:00 ET Summary The first half of 2024 is drawing to a close today, and we have one more half year to go. The first six months of the year were perhaps most notable for steadily weaning the bond market off its fantasies of multiple rate cuts. All else being equa...
2024-06-29 03:50:00 ET Summary The United States experienced a mild deflation in May, according to new data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. PCEPI, which is the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, grew at a continuously compounding annual rate of -0.1 per...
2024-06-28 00:45:00 ET Summary During the second quarter of 2024, the Treasury market experienced heightened volatility as market participants tried to predict when the Federal Reserve would start cutting interest rates. The 10-year Treasury yield fluctuated between a high of 4.70...
2024-06-26 09:25:00 ET Summary Rates won’t come down as quickly as some had hoped, according to our CIO, William Davies, but further gains for equities are still possible this year. Heading into the second half of the year, we’re likely to see further divergence in c...
2024-06-26 02:20:00 ET Summary Growth peaked on a quarter over quarter seasonally adjusted annual rate in Q3 last year at 4.9%. One area of uncertainty is the spend rate for the IRA and CHIPs Act. While we believe the current administration will keep spending high through the elec...
2024-06-25 14:50:00 ET Summary The US 10-2yr Treasury yield curve has been inverted (two-year yields higher than ten-year) for 23 months since July 2022. An inversion in this spread has preceded the onset of every recession in the last 50 years by an average of 10 months. Mark...
2024-06-25 02:40:00 ET Summary The big news last week was that the Commerce Department reported that retail sales rose by only 0.1% in May, below the analysts’ consensus estimate of 0.3%. Like the G7 conference in Italy, the recent Ukrainian peace conference in Switzerland ...
2024-06-24 10:16:00 ET Summary The economic environment was unchanged last week, as the 10-year rate and the dollar both rose slightly. Large cap growth stocks and commodities continue to lead on the YTD basis with intermediate-term Treasuries flat, while small-cap stocks and REIT...
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2024-06-14 13:16:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-13 23:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-14 13:26:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...