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2024-06-03 15:40:00 ET Summary European government bond yields have swung as markets question how far the ECB will ease policy beyond a first cut expected this week. Even with anticipated rate cuts, we see policy rates in the U.S. and Europe settling at a far higher level than the...
2024-06-03 10:05:00 ET Summary Last week was a volatile one for markets, with big swings in stocks and bonds in a holiday-shortened week. Interest rates shot up 18 basis points on Tuesday and Wednesday and while that didn’t change any trends, it is a pretty big move for a c...
2024-06-02 12:17:00 ET Summary Inflation ticked down further in April, according to new data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, has also declined. FOMC members will almost certainly vote to hold their target ra...
2024-06-01 03:00:00 ET Summary The Fed’s balance sheet shrunk by $118B in May - the largest amount since September of last year. When the Fed makes money, it sends it back to the Treasury. This has netted the Treasury close to $100B a year. International holdings have i...
2024-06-01 01:45:00 ET Summary The Treasury yield curve has been inverted between the 10-year and 2-year maturities for 500 days. Prior to the current inversion, which started in 2022, the 10-2 curve has inverted on four occasions since 1987. It still may be too early to concl...
2024-05-31 07:15:00 ET Summary The dollar is mostly consolidating yesterday's losses ahead of month-end and the US income and consumption data. The PCE core deflator may have risen by 0.2%, the least this, year, but the year-over-year rate is expected to be steady at 2.8%. The...
2024-05-31 06:00:00 ET Summary Is the 60/40 portfolio still viable? How alternatives can help diversify your portfolio. Ways to integrate alts into a traditional portfolio. ... Read the full article on Seeking Alpha For further details see: Is It ...
2024-05-31 01:20:00 ET Summary Europe seems extremely likely to cut rates in June, in my view, as progress on inflation has been significant. Inflation has slowed, and I give the Bank of Canada a 50/50 chance of a rate cut at its June meeting. The Federal Reserve seems poised ...
2024-05-30 04:10:00 ET Summary In Q1 2024, unrealized losses on securities held by commercial banks increased by $39 billion from Q4 to a cumulative loss of $517 billion. The securities are mostly Treasury securities and government-guaranteed MBS that don’t produce credit l...
2024-05-30 03:42:00 ET Summary Money Supply is a very important indicator that helps show how tight or loose current monetary conditions are regardless of what the Fed is doing with interest rates. Money Supply should dip some heading into the summer before rebounding later in the...
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2024-06-14 13:18:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-23 23:18:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-13 23:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...