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2024-07-03 05:10:00 ET Summary Crescat is a global macro asset management firm. We develop tactical investment themes based on proprietary value-driven models. Our mission is to grow and protect wealth by capitalizing on the most compelling macro themes of our time. Many will argu...
2024-07-02 15:05:00 ET Summary The U.S. economy has not entered a recession despite the inverted yield curve, which historically predicted recessions, and this may be due to the relatively solid labor market setting. The monthly Employment Situation report and the initial jobless ...
2024-07-02 09:25:00 ET Summary The S&P 500 index surged +3.5% for the month. Despite the looming presidential election this November and the recent debate, the stock market has continued on a +56% bull market tear since the October 2023-low, eight months ago. The job and i...
2024-07-01 14:55:00 ET Summary It appears increasingly clear a return to 2% inflation is an unlikely outcome anytime soon. Headline inflation looks to have bottomed, while the stickier services-heavy inflation measures below are slowly but surely losing downside momentum. What...
2024-07-01 14:20:00 ET Summary Every multi-year bull market in U.S. history eventually becomes overheated with above-average inflation. This is followed by a choppy, dramatic slowdown during which inflation unevenly declines while GDP growth decelerates and eventually goes negative. ...
2024-07-01 08:20:00 ET Summary Energy stocks were the best performer of the week, up 2.4% as crude oil rose 1%. On a sector basis, only three sectors beat the index this quarter, and all of them are AI-related in some way. Diversified strategies and the S&P 500 really star...
2024-06-30 12:50:00 ET Summary The first half of 2024 is drawing to a close today, and we have one more half year to go. The first six months of the year were perhaps most notable for steadily weaning the bond market off its fantasies of multiple rate cuts. All else being equa...
2024-06-30 08:30:00 ET Summary Markets are still enjoying a soft landing, defined as a world in which inflation is drifting lower, even if still-sticky in key areas, the global economy and labour markets remain unencumbered, and monetary policy is on track to ease modestly. In bon...
2024-06-30 08:10:00 ET Summary Central banks fueled the market rally earlier this year as they embraced optimism that inflation could decelerate without sacrificing growth. The Fed's decision to hold off on rate cuts is supported by resilient economic growth keeping inflation abov...
2024-06-30 06:00:00 ET Summary Inflation may be sailing toward trend, but uncertainties remain on the horizon for the economy and financial markets in the second half of the year. Macroeconomic backdrop is favorable for G10 bond markets, with slower nominal GDP growth enabling cen...
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2024-06-14 13:18:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-23 23:18:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-13 23:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...