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Summary Global economic output contracted for a second straight month in September, adding to signs that businesses around the world are reporting the toughest conditions outside of pandemic lockdowns since the global financial crisis. Manufacturing is being hit by rising prices, ...
Summary We maintain our intermediate-term bearish bias and think it makes sense to pursue short-term shorts, as well. Shorting stocks is a difficult and complicated proposition. Typical action would see oil back above $100 bbl pretty easily, with a run toward $120 certainly wi...
Summary The last decade, from a historical perspective, looks like an anomaly. If volatility becomes more common in the future, strategies that help reduce downside risk should become integral to equity allocations. Expect to see more volatility in the next 10 years than in th...
Summary FID is an ex-U.S global dividend fund with a yield of 4.8%. Canada is the top country in its portfolio. Financials and Utilities are the top sectors. Valuation looks attractive, but it is biased by the country and sector breakdown. The fund has lost 30% in shar...
Summary HDEF is an international, large cap, high yield fund. 48% of asset value is in 3 countries: the U.K., Japan and Switzerland. 54% is concentrated in 3 sectors: financials, consumer staples and materials. Aggregate valuation ratios look great. However, HDEF has l...
Summary Global equity markets outside of the United States have completed a third negative quarter, with the MSCI ACWI ex US IMI Index down 11.26% in the three months through October 30. For the year to date, this index is down 27.19%, which clearly indicates a “bear market...
Summary Equity market volatility persisted in the third quarter as investors came to terms with a new reality of high inflation and rising interest rates. For most of this year, equity markets have violently traded on this unholy trinity of rising inflation, rate hikes and growth ...
Summary We can always find an unimportant market blowing up somewhere, but as long as the funding markets are not touched, the effects on the real economy will be limited. Based on what I have seen publicly discussed, I see nothing that says that we are in any worse state than pre...
Summary We began September on Crash Watch but ended the month on Crash Warning. Though much has changed since October began, the warning remains until further notice. To be clear, this warning applies to the U.S. and global equity markets. The move to a Warning last week was relat...
Summary Elevated inflation, currencies, slowing global economic growth expectations, and reduced central bank liquidity remain key economic considerations. Volatility measured by the VIX spiked in September after declining in August. This wall of worry is real, but it is impor...
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2024-07-14 09:54:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-24 13:02:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...