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Summary Value historically has had an edge in inflationary environments, while growth is typically preferred in a recession. With the risks of persistent inflation and impending recession both at play, we believe the best course is to build both growth and value into portfolios, a...
Summary Skewness in asset returns is a perplexing phenomenon and evokes different behavior from investors. Our theory is that skewness tends to move based on investor preferences. Investors in growth stocks may be pursuing lottery-like payouts, especially when such stocks are ...
Summary Selection must be brutal to pick the right stocks to weather the current equity market environment. Higher rates could persist for a while, and they are likely to continue to reach higher levels. SFY is not very selective in its popular, value-weighted exposures with a...
Summary The sharp declines have dramatically changed the valuation landscape. Paying too high a premium for safety could backfire if market trends shift again. We believe growth stocks’ valuations are far more attractive today than they were a year ago. Active inves...
Summary As the Fed walks the line between curbing inflation and averting recession, anxious investors are seeking to balance the two risks. The question now is how fast can inflation fall and where does it come to rest? We don’t see a quick retrenchment or a return to the o...
Summary With inflation at the highest level in decades and volatility continuing to surge, equity investors are questioning their next moves. At the beginning of the year, financial conditions were very loose by any means historically, and we've very rapidly moved from loose finan...
Summary After a brutal six months, during which the Russell 1000 Growth Index fell more than 32%, growth stocks finally found a floor in June before rebounding. September is not over and is rarely kind to investors. A slower economy is, at least on a relative basis, supportive...
Summary The main economic data release for the trading week is the US inflation report. The UK economy is in a precarious position and facing a recession. Chinese President Xi is expected to meet with Russian President Putin at the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation summit in U...
SFY is a relatively new zero-cost ETF that will appeal to the moderately aggressive growth investor. It's slightly outperformed SPYG through the current downturn but lags the S&P 500 Index. The portfolio's forward price-earnings ratio has been reduced substantially since my last a...
The revised long-term outlook projects an annualized return of 4.9%. The current risk premium forecast for GMI suggests that multi-asset-class strategies overall will generate lower returns relative to results posted in recent years. Combining forecasts via several models may prov...
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2024-07-04 12:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-02-23 11:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-02-02 00:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...