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After adjusting for inflation, both personal income and spending rose in January, by +9.7% and +2.0%. The renewed Congressional stimulus package providing $600 checks to most households had an impact on spending, which rose to levels equivalent to 2019 and only about 2% off-peak. ...
New orders for durable goods posted a ninth consecutive gain in January, rising 3.4 percent following a gain of 1.2 percent in December. Total durable goods orders are up 4.6 percent from a year ago. New orders for nondefense capital goods excluding aircraft, a proxy for business ...
The reflation theme is alive, well, and prospering. Fed Chairman Powell sees a long road to recovery, is not concerned about rising prices, and he plans to keep short-term rates low for a long time. And it's not just stocks that are benefiting. For further details see: R...
There is no alternative to stocks simply because rates are so low, close to zero, and stocks were the only place you could get a return over the past few years. There have been many times in the past ten years where the S&P 500 has yielded nearly 2%, while the 10-year US Treasury ...
More tech-heavy momentum names underperforming the cyclical names sensitive to economic growth. Steepening yield curve indicates much stronger growth this year. Craig: With global cases falling and vaccine rollouts, likely to see a mini boom in summer time. For further detai...
In August 2020, the Congressional Budget Office projected a wide 6.6 percentage point gulf between actual and potential GDP in 2020. The CBO also in August 2020, projected that the output gap would persist for the entire decade. The latest February 2021 CBO projection now shows th...
Jerome Powell's appearances in Congress next week may come at the perfect time. Rising yields have made investors nervous and the Fed Chair may be the person to put their minds at ease. Meanwhile, Boris Johnson will lay out plans for the easing of the lockdown measures in the UK. ...
As global stock markets continue to rise, commentators talk of a bubble. Longer-term indicators present mixed signals about valuation. Expectations about the speed of economic recovery from the pandemic are key. A recovery in productivity growth relies on saving and investment...
Inflation is going to remain relatively well-bounded. We will see a cyclical uptick in inflation this year. But from a longer-term perspective, there isn’t a meaningful risk of inflation breaking out significantly to the upside. Fiscal and monetary support are clearly two aspec...
When the economy overheats, central banks try to calm it down; when it's depressed, they try to prop it up, as they are doing at the moment. We are experiencing the most aggressive intervention in the economy and financial markets by the Fed and the US Treasury, which is why stocks ar...
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2024-07-04 12:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-02-23 11:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-02-02 00:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...