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2023-03-21 14:05:00 ET Summary Increased uncertainty in the global banking system and violent swings in rates markets have led to weakness in credit. Statistically, spreads are looking cheap, but we argue that risks remain high and market direction is still uncertain. While th...
2023-03-13 06:30:00 ET Summary Higher yields are causing fixed-income allocations to increase. The Fed funds rate is close to the yield of the Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Index of investment-grade bonds. If you can stay alert to and access opportunities in more niche and less liq...
2023-03-10 07:47:00 ET Summary Aggressive Fed tightening over the past year or so has devastated the value of bond portfolios because interest rates have risen by more and faster than during any prior bond bear market. The bond market is signaling that the outlook for the economy ...
2023-03-07 12:10:00 ET Summary Over the past 30 years, there have been three recessionary periods during which high-yield spreads rose by an average of 630 bps. Lofty yield levels in the HY market have provided investors with a cushion to absorb potential losses from deteriorating...
Summary The credit cycle lies at the heart of our financial system. Corporations and households rely on the availability of credit to facilitate economic growth and ensure financial stability. Unfortunately, the leading indicators suggest the cyclical outlook of the credit cycle is unfa...
Summary Two key risks could challenge recent market optimism: weaker consumption and a squeeze on corporate profitability. Despite these elevated risks, current credit spreads are not reflective of recessionary risks when compared with historical levels. The opportunity set for inco...
Summary Why the U.S. economy continues to display polyurethane-like flexibility and resilience, despite encountering extraordinary shocks. How portfolios can also be built with flexibility and resilience in mind. Why high-quality fixed income assets are today a critical component of...
Summary One of the phrases making the rounds among the financial media chatterboxes this week has been “no landing”. The macro news has indeed given some cause for cheer relative to some of the more dour scenarios we’ve been looking at in the past few months. Wh...
Summary Following the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed’s) series of aggressive interest-rate hikes, inflationary pressures have shown signs of easing. We believe this may pave the way for a “pivot to a pause” in monetary policy. The impact of tightening financial co...
Summary Changes in the bond market reflect changes in interest rates, inflation expectations, and overall economic conditions, all of which have a significant impact on the stock market. This week, we saw a bit of a dislocation in the bond/stock market relationship. Corporate bonds and ...
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2024-07-04 13:10:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-14 15:48:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-05 02:26:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...