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Summary There are some important financial implications to below-trend economic growth. If inflation remains high, interest rates will adjust, triggering a debt crisis as servicing requirements increase and defaults rise. Most of the aggregate growth in the economy was finance...
Summary The 21% fall from all-time highs in the S&P 500 has been orderly as compared to past major declines. Lack of strong relief rallies and volatility spikes could be a sign this is just the start of an extended move down. There are no technical signals the market is an...
Summary Recognizing that high inflation will not quietly go away, the world's major central banks are toughening their policies. Gradualism has given way to super-sized interest rate increases and a clearer resolve to restrain actual and expected inflation, despite adverse economi...
Summary Initial jobless claims came in at 213K this week. That would have been unchanged versus the prior week, but last week’s print was revised down by 5K to 208K. As initial claims have come off of recent highs, continuing claims likewise hit the lowest level in several ...
Summary The Fed’s GDP growth forecast was lowered to just .2% in 2022 and 1.2% in 2023 and well below the 2.5% US GDP growth capacity estimate. The US 2 and 30-year Treasury yield curve inverted 58 bps, the most since 2000. If December 2022 ends this hiking cycle, follo...
Summary As expected, the FOMC increased the range for the federal funds rate by 75 basis points to 3-3.25%. Powell went on to note that there were notable imbalances between supply and demand in many different commodity and service sectors that were contributing to inflation. ...
Summary Goods in the pipeline have slipped back a bit below normal because many companies had ordered more than they needed when they were unable to get goods and are now overstocked. Thus, ports are no longer backed up. The supply chain is still messed up, but in a different way....
Summary In this chart-filled article, we're looking at the economic situation in the United States, starting with the pandemic in 2020. Then, we dive into the tricky situation the Fed is currently in as it looks to harm demand to fight inflation. Unfortunately, the economy is alre...
Summary The Fed was more hawkish, and the median dot sees a 125 bp increase in the target rate in Q4. The hawkish thrust was also evident in projecting that the target rate will remain higher for longer. The market still does not fully accept the Fed's message. The unemployment ra...
Summary The U.S. Federal Reserve delivered its third straight 75-bps rate hike on Wednesday. Based on the Fed's updated economic projections, the growth outlook is for a weaker economy over its projection horizon versus its June update. We know policy works with a lag, and inf...
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2024-07-27 03:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-17 11:52:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-17 17:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...