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Today’s DOL Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims shows some improvement in the employment situation. The non-seasonal adjusted initial claims at 891,510 are up by 52,776 when compared to the previous week. However, the non-seasonal adjusted continuous insured unemployed at 14,265,34...
Speculators continue to dive headfirst into stocks encouraged by the Fed and Treasury's inflationary policies. Ironically, should these policies actually begin to ignite high inflation, as we expect, equities are likely to do very poorly if history is any guide. With the exception of the very ...
You have to laugh at the absurdity of the puppet show theater. A few months ago when bond yields backed up a little bit, as they do from time to time, everyone from Bond Kings to Dollar Crash-ists to Economists to just about every writer at the Wall Street Journal and Bloomberg became fixa...
By Kevin Flanagan, Head of Fixed Income Strategy As we continue to be bombarded with headlines and news stories on a 24-7 basis, sometimes it's difficult to know what to focus on in terms of economic numbers. I'm sure everyone has their favorite indicator to watch and comment on. But in ou...
Original post Editor's Note: The summary bullets for this article were chosen by Seeking Alpha Read more ...
With the second quarter of the 2020 reporting season mostly behind us, and with markets testing "all-time" highs, do earnings support the bullish thesis? Such is the fundamental question surrounding the debate over the record deviation between "momentum" and "growth." No Real Surprise...
Consumer Price Index The Consumer Price Index rose 0.6% for a second month in a row, driven by autos, gasoline, clothing and airfares, but the year-over-year rate remains a tepid 1%. This is down from the 2.5% rate at the start of the year. The core rate, which excludes food and energy, ...
Over the past decade, the heavy hand of central banks and the ubiquitous coverage of Fedspeak has formed a compelling narrative surrounding the deviation of stock prices from fundamentals. Despite this ingrained justification for rising share prices, a historical analysis of the data argues ...
Every three months, we take a snapshot of the expectations for future earnings in the S&P 500 (Index: SPX ) at approximately the midpoint of the current quarter, shortly after most U.S. firms have announced their previous quarter's earnings. The latest forecast for S&P 500 earnings ...
As described in Part 1 (see here ), the financialization of the US economy created a fragile economy well ahead of the arrival of COVID-19. The turn toward finance (financialization) began during the 1980s and matured during the 1990s and 2000s, as constraints were removed from financial mark...