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Theories can be proven true or false. Identities must always hold true. The national savings and investment identity provides a critical framework to understand the flow of financial capital and determine the possible implications of increasing budget deficits. Currently, many market par...
By Kristina Hooper, Chief Global Market Strategist It's August in New England for the Hooper family, which means hot summer days, barbecues, and lots of time in the water. Every year at this time, my thoughts turn to the iconic movie "Jaws," which, as regular readers of this blog may rem...
A U.S. dollar is an IOU from the Federal Reserve Bank. It's a promissory note that doesn't actually promise anything. It's not backed by gold or silver. − P. J. O'Rourke The U.S. dollar is currently the world’s leading currency. As per the IMF, 61.99% of global exchange re...
Introduction At the beginning of 2020, who would have guessed that we would see the stock market melt in February and March at its fastest rate in history? How fast was it? The COVID-19 economic shutdown caused the markets to drop 37% in 1.5 months or 25% per month (averaged). For comparis...
Originally Published on August 24 Good morning and welcome back to the land of blinking screens. Although the market's primary cycles do not change often, I still like to start each week with a clear understanding of what type of market we are dealing with. For me, a quick glance at the co...
Original post Editor's Note: The summary bullets for this article were chosen by Seeking Alpha Read more ...
The commonly-held view that Fed policy has been the main driver of the recent rally and will prevent future losses reflects, to a large extent, ex-post justification rather than a critical analysis of the data. In reality, monetary policy is just one of countless market drivers, explaining why...
Source The Everything Rally Continues Risk on is sweeping across markets as the " everything rally " looks set to continue. Despite the nearly 24 million confirmed coronavirus cases worldwide, risk appetite remains strong. Unprecedented Fed stimulus, expectations for a V-shaped re...
The most difficult aspect of investing is appreciating the urgency to act when almost no one else wants to do so and to refrain from trading when almost everyone else is either excitedly chasing after recent extended strength or selling in a panic following recent dramatic losses. Now is one o...
My wife said to me the other day that I looked uptight. (She can read me like a book. She knows what I am thinking before I do.) I asked her what she meant. She said, "You get really uncomfortable when you are making too much money." That's so right. If prices are falling and I am losing money...