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Summary The bear markets of 1937, 2000, and 2008 suggest a short-term bottom may be found in October. However, that doesn't mean it will be the bottom. Whether the market bottoms or not will depend on interest rates. The bear market of 2022 still has further to run b...
Summary Few sectors escaped this year’s global equity selloff in Q3. Those most vulnerable to the punishing effects of the recent spike in interest rates have paid an especially heavy toll. Real estate, telecom, utilities and tech were the worst performers in most marke...
Summary Value historically has had an edge in inflationary environments, while growth is typically preferred in a recession. With the risks of persistent inflation and impending recession both at play, we believe the best course is to build both growth and value into portfolios, a...
Summary The median forecast in Bloomberg's survey is for a 0.2% increase on the month. This will replace the 0.4% increase in September last year and allow the year-over-year rate to fall toward 8.1% from 8.3%. Encouraged by the Fed's economic projections and a view of the Fed's r...
Summary What lessons can we learn from this postwar history of recessions? Recessions in the modern era are not just the product of natural economic cycles, but also of the latent systemic pressures that exist in a highly interlinked and mutually dependent global capital market. ...
Summary The global bubble – history’s greatest bubble - is bursting and we are about to commence an adjustment period that I fear will shake us to the core. A unique confluence of developments – globalization, the rise of China, technological innovation, finan...
Summary Skewness in asset returns is a perplexing phenomenon and evokes different behavior from investors. Our theory is that skewness tends to move based on investor preferences. Investors in growth stocks may be pursuing lottery-like payouts, especially when such stocks are ...
Summary Reversing the gains from earlier in Q3, September’s market rout brought U.S. and global equity indexes back into bear market territory. Uncertainty, volatility, and recession risk are elevated, but investors should keep in mind that innovations and opportunities oft...
Summary Markets seesaw on conflicting economic signals. Is a recession possible in the U.S. in the next 12 months? Q3 earnings season outlook. On the latest edition of Market Week in Review, Chief Investment Strategist for North America, Paul Eitelman, and Sophie Ant...
Summary High frequency indicators can give us a nearly up-to-the-moment view of the economy. The metrics are divided into long leading, short leading, and coincident indicators. Led by oil, commodity prices surged this week. A hawkish Fed and OPEC countries focusing on hur...
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2024-06-14 19:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-24 17:42:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-14 19:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...