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Initial claims for regular state unemployment insurance fell 2,000 for the week ending June 18, coming in at 229,000. The Russian invasion of Ukraine sustained elevated price increases, and an intensifying Fed tightening cycle represent risks to the economic outlook. Labor shortag...
The percentage of respondents reporting neutral sentiment moved modestly higher, increasing by just 30 basis points to 22.5%. The percentage of respondents reporting bearish sentiment rose for the third consecutive week to 59.3%, the highest level since late April. The bull-bear s...
A number of key technical, sentiment and flow based indicators are suggesting we could see a relief in selling pressure over the coming weeks, and perhaps a countertrend rally in risk assets. Reducing market hedges and short positions at current levels looks to be a prudent strategy. ...
Last week, the markets had their worst week since the pandemic crash in early 2020. Both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq are in a bear market now, and there is extreme fear in the market. The speed at which stocks have fallen is unprecedented. What does the last big and prolong...
The only way to raise living standards over the long term is to raise productivity, and central banks don’t do that. Central banks move demand around by providing and withdrawing spending power by influencing the creation and amounts of debt assets and debt liabilities. The...
The University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index's preliminary estimate for June plunged to a record low. The good news from all this bad news is that “contrarian theory” says that when sentiment reaches such historic lows, the only way it can go is up. T...
We see the Fed on a path to raise rates far enough this year to hurt growth. The U.S. activity restart from the pandemic could grind to a halt in coming quarters. The Fed lifted rates by 0.75% in a rush to normalize policy, its biggest hike since 1994. Other central banks joined, send...
During the height of the pandemic, consumers bought more goods than before because access to certain services was constrained, which exacerbated the problem with supply chains. As the service industry restaffs, especially in the hospitality and travel sectors, a considerable number of...
Success in investing over the long term isn’t just about picking winners. By adopting a balanced diversified approach, your portfolio stands a better chance of achieving a stable return over time. In a rapid rising environment for equity markets, we expect fixed income to u...
Chairman Powell made it clear in the FOMC post meeting press conference that the Committee is now frontloading return of its target federal funds rate range to a more “normal” position. The FOMC’s 75-basis-point increase in the target range on Wednesday is a tacit...
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2024-06-14 19:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-24 17:42:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-14 19:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...