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Markets traded last week as if inflation fear has peaked. The move in cash bond yields really don’t do the shift justice, with the trend still firmly up. Rates futures, however, tell a more interesting story. The Dec-23-Dec-22 curve in the US is now inverted by a whopping 40bp,...
The trading week ending on Friday, 24 June 2022 ended with a bang for the S&P 500 (Index: SPX), which experienced its eighth Lévy flight event of the year. The expiration of 2022-Q2's dividend futures contracts on 17 June 2022 represented the clock running out on the future o...
Earnings for the S&P 500, according to Howard Silverblatt’s work at S&P, are expected to rise 7.7% in 2022. Growth stocks were grossly overvalued going into that bear market and they took the brunt of the damage. Real estate did well last week with rates falling bac...
The SEC proposes to seek solutions to the many problems of our National Market System (NMS) for securities trading, problems such as payments for order flow (PFOF). The NMS problems identified by the SEC do not exist in financial futures markets. Here are adjustments to ...
Market soured because inflation seems to be easing. That's not likely, Powell's bully pulpit pressured commodities. Also, commodities are well-known to be extremely volatile, maybe they moved to the downside spontaneously? For these reasons and others, I expect stock prices to...
Last week's bear market rally ranks #51 out of 3,781 weeks since 1950. That puts it in the top 1.3% of all weeks over the past 72 years. It followed on the heels of another strong week less than a month ago. The rally-sellers have gone AWOL, at least for now. The bottom ma...
The energy sector has been absolutely pummeled the last few weeks, and crude oil has still yet to trade above the early March ’22 spike high of $131. Commodities have also started trading off hard. There is a growing and almost uniform belief that the US is headed into a re...
The pendulum of market sentiment swings dramatically. It has swung from nearly everyone and their sister complaining that the Federal Reserve was lagging behind the surge in prices to fear of a recession. In addition to the tightening of monetary policy and the roughly halving of the ...
Stagflation: What it means and why it matters? While employment remains relatively robust, there are growing concerns about the potential risk of stagflation. Can the global economy avoid stagflation? For further details see: Weighing The Risk Of Stagflation And What It ...
Jumping 6.4%, the S&P 500 more than recovered the previous week’s big loss. There is certainly a short squeeze element to the rally. The ECB’s emergency meeting to address mounting “fragmentation” risk reversed the intense deleveraging dynamics that...
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2024-06-14 19:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-24 17:42:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-14 19:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...