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The only US release on the economic calendar on Tuesday was the NFIB’s Small Business Optimism Index, and it was a big dud. The NFIB also provides some detail as to why businesses are reporting such a soured outlook regarding expansion. Another interesting point to not...
The June Index level was reported at 89.5 and the NFIB report notes this represents "the sixth consecutive month below the 48-year average of 98." A net negative 61% of small business owners, a seven-point decline from last month, are expecting better business conditions over the next...
The latest issue of the NFIB Small Business Economic Trends came out this morning. The headline number for June came in at 89.5, down 3.6 from the previous month. The index is at the 7th percentile in this series. A decline in Small Business Sentiment was a long leading indicator ...
The S&P 500 remains above the 3,810 May 20th low print and the June 17th low print of 3,636.87. Crude oil has not made a new high since March ’22, copper has fallen sharply as have many of the grain and other commodity prices. The sentiment is horrible around both stock...
Fund-flows and fear are constants. Changes to primary bull trends require loss of both of these constants. We show that both are still in place, which means so is the primary bull trend. There are only two constants in the stock market: funds and fear. Every other factor...
The core rate of U.S. inflation on both the consumer and wholesale level has been steadily declining since March. In light of the Supreme Court’s recent decision to curb the EPA’s power, the SEC’s new climate disclosures are expected to be aggressively challenged ...
Recession risk is rising, which inevitably leads to a discussion and debate about what exactly defines such an event. NBER is widely admired as the gold standard for identifying the start and end dates of US economic contractions. We can look (slightly) ahead to the immediate futu...
The volume of trade between the U.S. and China rebounded from April 2022's low. China's government continued lifting the burden of its zero-COVID policies in June 2022. Through May 2022, the gap between that trajectory and the post-pandemic trade recovery narrowed to $0.2 billion....
As we enter 22Q2 earnings season, growth rates remain positive but continue to fall after last year’s outsized pandemic impact. While overall growth expectations for the S&P 500 have fallen over the year (5.7% vs 14.4% on 7/1/2021), the energy sector has seen estimates incr...
The fact is that while the pundits argue about whether we are in a recession or not when it comes to the stock market, the only thing that matters is liquidity—the amount of money available to trade stocks. It’s pretty obvious that money has been moving into IBB aggressi...
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2024-06-14 19:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-24 17:42:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-14 19:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...