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The U.S. economy is at an elevated risk of recession. For the combined population of working American teens, we find that the employment level peaked at 5,660,000 in March 2022, falling 102,000 (or 1.8%) to 5,558,000 through June 2022. While we do see developing downtrends in port...
As we enter the second half of 2022, predictions of a possible recession range widely as the key drivers of inflation shift from goods to commodities and services, notably housing. For bond investors, the sharp rise in the rate landscape has had an outsize impact across the board, wit...
For decades, globalization has been on an inexorable rise, a key pillar fueling economic growth, driving inflation and yields down, bolstering corporate profit margins and supporting an upward climb in market valuations. Over the past few years, though, cracks have started to develop ...
Markets have entered a new regime characterized by higher levels of volatility and uncertainty as central banks try to rein in inflation. As recession fears rise, alternative data indicators reveal that markets may not be accurately pricing recession risk despite inflationary pressure...
Bespoke, with their always-relevant research, put out (in my opinion) a very timely update on the improvement in high yield credit spreads on Wednesday, July 20th, 2022, which have fallen 75 bps in the last 3 weeks. Most retail investors don’t understand the importance of credi...
Markets are undergoing a major shift. Central banks are focused more on inflation than liquidity. TD Wealth's Chief Wealth Strategist Brad Simpson explains. Brad Simpson, Chief Wealth Strategist with TD Wealth says that this is a "monumental" time for investors a...
One asset that has seen some of the most notable changes in the report in recent weeks has been the S&P 500. After declines of similar magnitude, the S&P 500 has experienced modest outperformance over the next week. Typically, sentiment data is considered contrarian in nat...
We’re a couple of weeks into second-quarter earnings and all is well. The big inflation report for June is on the books, bad company news is flowing (mixed with good news), but stocks are holding up. Small caps may finally be getting their time in the spotlight. Yesterday, ...
The dollar is weakening, commodity prices are falling, and corporate profits are beating expectations again. Pessimism looks to have peaked, as professional money managers appear to have capitulated. Meanwhile, the technicals are turning positive in what could be the beginning of ...
June had seen global employment growth generally holding up well, with many firms continuing to rebuild workforces that had been affected by the pandemic. Key to the price outlook will be the supply situation. Like the US and eurozone, the UK is seeing a natural moderation of grow...
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2024-06-14 19:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-24 17:42:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-14 19:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...