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Summary It's been said that Goldman Sachs had a 5,100 SP 500 target for year-end 2022 and thought the fed funds rate would be at 1% by the same deadline. The Fed fiddled while the US capital markets burned. The current EPS estimates vs the “peak” 2022 EPS is down...
Summary Over the last two weeks Federal Reserve officials delivered 37 speeches, all of the speakers competing to see who could be the most hawkish. The big problem with the Fed’s plan to kill inflation by reducing economic growth and raising the unemployment rate is that t...
Summary Many do not view a very long-term bear market as a possibility. Elliott Wave analysis suggests that an upcoming bear market can last between 7 and 20 years. The nature of the structure we develop in the coming decade will outline how long the upcoming bear market can l...
Summary The last decade, from a historical perspective, looks like an anomaly. If volatility becomes more common in the future, strategies that help reduce downside risk should become integral to equity allocations. Expect to see more volatility in the next 10 years than in th...
Summary The bear markets of 1937, 2000, and 2008 suggest a short-term bottom may be found in October. However, that doesn't mean it will be the bottom. Whether the market bottoms or not will depend on interest rates. The bear market of 2022 still has further to run b...
Summary Few sectors escaped this year’s global equity selloff in Q3. Those most vulnerable to the punishing effects of the recent spike in interest rates have paid an especially heavy toll. Real estate, telecom, utilities and tech were the worst performers in most marke...
Summary The median forecast in Bloomberg's survey is for a 0.2% increase on the month. This will replace the 0.4% increase in September last year and allow the year-over-year rate to fall toward 8.1% from 8.3%. Encouraged by the Fed's economic projections and a view of the Fed's r...
Summary What lessons can we learn from this postwar history of recessions? Recessions in the modern era are not just the product of natural economic cycles, but also of the latent systemic pressures that exist in a highly interlinked and mutually dependent global capital market. ...
Summary The global bubble – history’s greatest bubble - is bursting and we are about to commence an adjustment period that I fear will shake us to the core. A unique confluence of developments – globalization, the rise of China, technological innovation, finan...
Summary Reversing the gains from earlier in Q3, September’s market rout brought U.S. and global equity indexes back into bear market territory. Uncertainty, volatility, and recession risk are elevated, but investors should keep in mind that innovations and opportunities oft...
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2024-08-03 17:54:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-24 17:42:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-14 15:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...