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2023-09-30 10:29:39 ET Summary The Treasury market is leading the equity market, with the long-term yield rising to its highest level in 16 years. The stock market is being influenced by the Treasury market, therefore, investors should pay more attention to bond market movements. ...
2023-09-28 16:55:11 ET Summary According to the Real Yields model, the S&P 500 Forward P/E and its fair value should weaken. Historical Evidence between real yields indicates future decline. The greatest deviation between calculated fair value and real yields model h...
2023-09-25 23:40:50 ET Summary TIPS (Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities) yields have risen recently, with the 10-year coupon reaching 2.07%, the highest since 2009. Enormous Federal debt and history suggest inflation will remain sticky and higher than the Fed's target, but co...
2023-09-25 20:21:00 ET Summary Bond yields, which have been stagnant since peaking last October, finally broke above the trading range they’ve been in for all that time. Interest rates will peak at some point. When they do, it may or may not coincide with the onset of reces...
2023-09-22 10:45:00 ET Summary The collective wisdom of the bond market for much of this year has been betting that interest rates would soon peak and fall. By some accounts, the Fed appears to be on a path to leave rates higher for longer. The good news for investors is that ...
2023-09-20 05:00:00 ET Summary Conventional investment strategies are undergoing restructuring, with a focus on investments in hard assets due to elevated valuations of equities and US Treasuries. Gold and overall commodities are poised to play a significant role as investors seek...
2023-09-15 08:15:00 ET Summary The US economy is showing progress in addressing inflation, but the Federal Reserve is likely to maintain a "higher for longer" policy. Weakness in the labor market and signs of a rebalancing may give the Fed comfort in cooling the economy and return...
2023-09-14 04:45:00 ET Summary The Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 0.63% in August, the largest month-to-month increase since June 2022. Despite ongoing adjustments to health insurance CPI, core CPI and core services CPI accelerated. Fuel prices, particularly gasoline,...
2023-09-13 11:30:00 ET Summary US August inflation data shows a modest upside surprise, with headline CPI at 0.6% and core prices at 0.3%. The Fed is likely to keep one final rate hike in their forecasts despite keeping rates on hold in September. Risks to inflation include hi...
2023-09-05 11:30:00 ET Summary We up short-term sovereign bonds on attractive yields and downgrade credit in the long run. We stay cautious on long-term bonds even with the surge in yields. U.S. stocks recovered last week as 10-year yields slid from 16-year highs. Jobs data showed...
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2024-07-14 15:26:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-14 19:58:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-04 22:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...