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Popular measures of inflation such as the CPI and the PPI are backward-looking, but the financial markets are always trying to look forward. An implication is that prices in the financial markets are influenced to a far greater degree by changes in the expected future CPI (inflation e...
Per the Fed’s November 2021 estimates for Industrial Production in the United States, American domestic crude and natural gas output continues to be constrained. And not by a little. Compared to the prior peak way back almost two years ago, the amount of overall energy pulled o...
SPDR Portfolio TIPS ETF (NYSEARCA:SPIP) - $0.1853. Payable Dec 23; for shareholders of record Dec 20; ex-div Dec 17. For further details see: SPDR Portfolio TIPS ETF declares monthly distribution of $0.1853
As we look ahead to 2022, our base case is for positive global growth and elevated inflation in the near term. Though we see inflation moderating during the year, there are upside risks to our forecast. We believe growth assets, such as equities and credit, will tend to deliver positi...
The expected risk premium for the Global Market Index (GMI) ticked lower in November but remains elevated relative to recent history. Adjusting the forecast with short-term momentum and medium-term mean-reversion market factors (defined below) reduces - substantially - GMI’s ex...
SPDR Portfolio TIPS ETF (NYSEARCA:SPIP) - $0.0493. Payable Dec 07; for shareholders of record Dec 02; ex-div Dec 01. For further details see: SPDR Portfolio TIPS ETF declares monthly distribution of $0.0493
We stay invested for now as a new virus strain and European COVID surge are hurting risk sentiment. Any delay of the powerful restart now means more later. News of the contagious new strain triggered a sell-off in risk assets. Jerome Powell was nominated to stay on as Fed chair, heral...
The S&P 500 was down 2.2% last week, which, in normal times, would be barely worth a mention. But in today’s speculative market, that qualifies as a correction. The first two quarters of this year were a big rebound, but last quarter was a bummer with the emergence of the D...
Most central bankers appear to attribute the elevated inflation prints (at least partially) to global supply chain bottlenecks and associated scarcity of supply. Looking over the cyclical horizon, we see two key swing factors – inflation expectations and wages – and they...
At the November FOMC meeting, the Fed officially announced that it would begin tapering its bond purchase program, starting in mid-November. When the Fed began tapering its QE3 program over the course of 2014, the coupon supply from the U.S. Treasury was stable, leading to an increase...
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2024-07-14 15:26:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-14 19:58:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-04 22:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...