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Even though I expect reported inflation to remain uncomfortably high through at least the end of this year, it's becoming clear, on the margin, that the inflation dynamics are improving for the better. A strong dollar has almost always coincided with weak commodity prices, but we saw ...
The revised long-term outlook projects an annualized return of 4.9%. The current risk premium forecast for GMI suggests that multi-asset-class strategies overall will generate lower returns relative to results posted in recent years. Combining forecasts via several models may prov...
SPDR Portfolio TIPS ETF ( SPIP ) - $0.1355 . 30-Day SEC Yield of 0.24% as of June 29. Payable Jul 08; for shareholders of record Jul 05; ex-div Jul 01. For further details see: SPDR Portfolio TIPS ETF declares monthly distribution of $0.1355
Commodities (used in the production of goods) are considered a leading indicator of inflation. Recessions are a normal corrective phase of the economic cycle, but politicians, central banks, most financial advisors, and economists never see them coming. Central bank policies can h...
Earnings for the S&P 500, according to Howard Silverblatt’s work at S&P, are expected to rise 7.7% in 2022. Growth stocks were grossly overvalued going into that bear market and they took the brunt of the damage. Real estate did well last week with rates falling bac...
In a more fractured world, we believe governments and corporate decision-makers will increasingly focus on searching for safety and building resilience. Looking forward, rather than reaching for yield, we believe that investors will be reaching for resilience in their portfolio constr...
The Federal Reserve panicked last week and spooked investors into the worst week for stocks since the onset of COVID in March 2020. For bonds to rally, we need rates to fall and that will only come with better inflation news and/or weaker economic data. It is a very uncertain time...
Foreign holdings of U.S. Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities broadened in 2021, as global investors reduced their exposure to nominal cash-generating assets in response to high inflation. As the government can’t inflate away its inflation-protected debt, the TIPS market wil...
If you are an investor and sell every time your perception of uncertainty rises, you will avoid risk, but you will also miss opportunities. Our heightened state of awareness about uncertainty has us focused on the negative outcomes, assuming the worst-case scenarios will be realized. ...
A long-run real return is what you get over and above long-run inflation. In Europe, it's still negative. In the US, it's barely positive. Lower market yields of late have come from an easing in inflation expectations. But with real rates still so low, there is a natural pressure ...
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2024-07-14 15:26:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-14 19:58:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-04 22:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...