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2024-06-20 01:11:46 ET Summary Last week, the Fed maintained its view that rates would be cut this year. While the outcome was quite hawkish, I chose to look beyond this and ask what happens after they finally cut rates, so we can prepare. Since 1921, the Fed has initiated 22 ...
2024-06-20 00:20:00 ET Summary Last month, for instance, government employment was up 2.7 percent, year over year, while private employment was up on 1.6 percent. Growth in government jobs has been outpacing private employment (year over year) for the past fourteen months. The...
2024-06-19 23:32:28 ET Summary Retail sales declined in May and were downwardly revised for prior months, suggesting the consumer is in trouble. A better picture of consumer spending comes from the personal spending report that includes services, as well as goods. That picture...
2024-06-19 22:40:00 ET Summary Real Retail Sales are holding at an elevated level, very likely due to consumers being forced to abandon the many small retailers not reported. Industrial Production continues to move sideways at a level similar to prior peaks. The equity markets...
2024-06-19 01:27:46 ET Summary Macroeconomic insights for portfolio positioning. US Consumer data is holding up for now despite significant challenges like high interest rates, inflation and skyrocketing debt. Market indicators also continue to suggest bullish trends. The...
2024-06-19 00:00:00 ET Summary Breadth has been the topic of the week, with the market cap weighted S&P 500 pushing to new highs, leaving behind cumulative AD lines and equal-weight measures of the same index. The combined market cap of what are currently the 30 largest stocks...
2024-06-18 12:30:00 ET Summary Picking a portfolio of currently attractive stocks is becoming more difficult around the world, both for the portfolio managers and business managers. This is emphasized by the media’s attention on popular indices, where a small number of stoc...
2024-06-18 09:15:00 ET Summary The internal health of the stock market has markedly deteriorated, giving way to a number of warning flags that could presage unfavourable performance in the short to medium term. Stock market breadth has fallen by the wayside as fewer and fewer part...
2024-06-18 08:45:00 ET Summary The Fed did not lower its inflation forecast based on the Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) index, and it raised its unemployment forecast to 4.1%. The Fed cannot fight market rates, so if Treasury yields go lower, the Fed may be forced to cut r...
2024-06-18 08:40:00 ET Summary After dipping in April, teen jobs rose in May 2024 to their highest level since September 2007. Since January 2024, there has been a shift away from younger teens (age 16-17) in favor of older teens (age 18-19) in the job figures. As of May 2024,...
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2024-07-03 08:30:00 ET If you've been a student of the market for any meaningful length of time, you've likely stumbled across advice to just buy and hold an S&P 500 index fund like the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSEMKT: SPY) . And it's a good tip. Not only is such a plan ...
2024-03-05 06:28:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-02-12 21:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...