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2024-06-23 12:30:00 ET Summary While the Bank of Canada and the European Central Bank cut interest rates in June, the Federal Reserve decided to keep rates steady. While the European Union is in the throes of political uncertainty, the UK appears to have significant political cert...
2024-06-23 06:15:00 ET Summary Gamma levels in the S&P 500 have significantly reduced after June options expiration, leading to potential market instability. Fed's reverse repo facility usage is expected to increase significantly by the end of June, potentially draining liquid...
2024-06-22 23:57:00 ET Summary The bulls have long rationalized that low rates and increased liquidity justify overpaying for the underlying fundamentals. The fiscal policies implemented after the pandemic-driven economic shutdown created a surge in demand that further exacerbated...
2024-06-22 23:08:00 ET Summary If the Bank of England’s decision on Thursday to leave interest rates unchanged is a guide, the outlook for the start date for a US rate cut may be further down the line than generally assumed. It’s also striking that UK inflation is we...
2024-06-22 08:45:00 ET Summary Central banks in Australia and Norway resisted rate cuts, leading to currency appreciation, while New Zealand's central bank faced skepticism from investors. The Bank of Canada, perceived as dovish, saw the Canadian dollar strengthen despite expectat...
2024-06-22 02:54:52 ET Summary With the election cycle entering its last five months, the political cycle will now be part of the current macro scene. This has the potential to be a market-moving issue due to the stark economic policy differences between the two candidates. In...
2024-06-21 12:04:26 ET Summary Federal Reserve's securities portfolio declined by $8.6 billion in the latest banking week ending June 19. Over the three banking weeks ending June 19, the portfolio decreased by $36.6 billion. The Federal Reserve is continuing to reduce the size...
2024-06-21 11:19:49 ET Summary Markets could face significant declines of 15%-20% in the second half of 2024 due to risk repricing and contracting valuations. Credit spreads and implied volatility levels are rising, possibly due to uncertainties around upcoming elections and conce...
2024-06-21 09:00:00 ET Summary I reflect on past bear markets caused by unsustainable debt levels and valuations, but do not see similar circumstances today. Current concerns about a looming bear market are addressed, with a focus on overbought conditions in the technology sector ...
2024-06-21 05:30:00 ET Summary The real GDP growth forecasts for 2024 have been lowered in a few major economies, including the US, Canada, Brazil and Japan. We continue to expect a gradual downward trend in global consumer price index inflation in 2024-26, driven by a moder...
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2024-07-03 08:30:00 ET If you've been a student of the market for any meaningful length of time, you've likely stumbled across advice to just buy and hold an S&P 500 index fund like the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSEMKT: SPY) . And it's a good tip. Not only is such a plan ...
2024-03-05 06:28:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-02-12 21:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...