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2023-04-20 13:34:00 ET Summary The 60/40 stock/bond portfolio is the gold standard of portfolios. The math on the 40% slice is much cleaner. A bond aggregate is about a 5-year instrument in my All Duration model. In today’s environment, the aggregated components of a 60...
2023-04-20 03:00:00 ET Summary Some of the recent economic data is beginning to show increasing evidence that activity does appear to be slowing. With respect to the UST 3mo/10yr measure, the inversion has still been gathering steam. While the 3-Month T-bill has been tethered ...
2023-04-20 02:54:00 ET Summary Managers have become less bearish on credit spreads with ~40% expecting spreads to be range-bound in the next 12 months. Inflation and the prospect of recession are the major concerns among managers. At the time of the survey close on Feb. 15, pa...
2023-04-20 01:44:00 ET Summary The US Federal Reserve could soon deliver the last hike of the current cycle. While 10Y yields have seen their peak already, it will need the imminent prospect of rate cuts to re-steepen the curves. We think cuts will come before the year ends, b...
2023-04-18 13:49:57 ET Global exchange traded funds amassed more than $65B worth of investor capital during the month of March. This marked the segment's 46th consecutive month of net positive flows. In total, ETFs attracted $65.16B worth of capital in March. The 2023 ETF infl...
2023-04-18 05:00:00 ET Summary U.S. Bank loans and leases declined by $105 billion in the two weeks following the banking system disruption, suggesting some downward pressure ahead for the U.S. economy. A plus 1% spread between the 1-year and the 10-year is a sign of a meaningfull...
2023-04-12 00:08:00 ET Summary A negative US 10-year minus 3-month yield spread has signalled every incoming recession of the last 60 years. In the real world, global PC shipments were -29% year over year in the first quarter, and the average work week in March’s payroll re...
2023-04-11 13:18:35 ET Summary The Fed was quick to keep rates near zero when the pandemic struck. However, it made a mistake to see inflation as transitory and kept rates low for too long. As a result, the Fed needed to raise rates at an aggressive pace and magnitude to keep infl...
2023-04-11 02:36:00 ET Summary We’ve seen the worst of the yield curve inversions but I don’t think it tells you a whole lot about the future course of the stock market. Bonds rallied last week as interest rates fell with the 3-7 year Treasury index up a little over ...
2023-04-10 03:30:00 ET Summary The U.S. economy is slowing. A major tightening of real estate lending is now unfolding. The biggest lesson from Kuroda's rein: No individual (or small group) should ever have such absolute power to inflate. April 7 - Bloomberg (Alexa...
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2024-06-03 04:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
New ETF Provides Cost-Effective, Broad Treasury Exposure to Customize Bond Portfolios State Street Global Advisors, the asset management business of State Street Corporation (NYSE: STT), today announced the launch of the SPDR ® Portfolio Treasury ETF (SPTB) . SPTB further e...
2024-05-14 06:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...