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2023-06-14 22:47:00 ET Summary Interest rates are relatively high from an historical perspective, but there are as yet few - if any - signs that monetary policy is too tight or that it is threatening the health of the economy. Without shelter costs artificially inflating the CPI, ...
2023-06-14 12:15:00 ET Summary A hawkish hold need not be market-moving for dollar rates, and a lot of financial tightening is still in the pipeline. What’s more important is the tone and language used by Chair Powell, where a hawkish tilt should prevent yields from seeing ...
2023-06-12 22:12:00 ET Summary The US Treasury yield curve is at its most inverted since the 1980s. An inverted yield curve has been in place for five of the past six recessions. Fixed income has historically shown positive returns during recessionary periods. By M...
2023-06-09 15:10:00 ET Summary The Federal Reserve is expected to leave policy rates unchanged on 14 June, despite recent market pricing shifts. Conflicting data and mixed messages in recent data releases suggest it may be prudent for the Fed to pause and evaluate. If rates ar...
2023-06-05 09:20:00 ET Summary The stock market surged last Friday after the employment report showed a gain of over 300k jobs while the year-over-year change in average hourly earnings fell to 4.3%. The rally in REITs and small-cap value may be more important because sentiment is...
2023-06-03 02:19:00 ET Summary The Fed saw a reduction in its balance sheet of $177M. The majority of this was actually in Treasuries with less than 1-year maturity, totaling $102B. MBS fell short of the $35B reduction target yet again, seeing only $17.6B roll off the balance shee...
2023-06-02 00:30:00 ET Summary The Treasury yield curve is expected to return to a positive slope, with short-maturity yields below longer maturity yields. Despite strong nonfarm payroll reports, weaker numbers could emerge in the next few months due to a weakening manufacturing s...
2023-05-30 04:41:00 ET Summary The economy continues to show remarkable resiliency. Markets have, in recent weeks, started to price in another rate hike and pushed rate cuts out to near the end of the year. Credit spreads improved last week and continue to trade less than the ...
2023-05-22 02:10:00 ET Summary With mega-cap tech / growth up 25.95% this year), the semiconductor group is being pulled higher with it, despite the memory-related names still being in a tough downcycle. Inflation data has heated up (or at least not cooled down enough to the Fed...
2023-05-20 08:26:00 ET Summary Investor risk aversion peaked at the end of last year. Headline consumer prices and government bond yields peaked in June and October of 2022, respectively. The US currency and broader financial conditions have eased in the same time frame. ...
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2024-06-03 04:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
New ETF Provides Cost-Effective, Broad Treasury Exposure to Customize Bond Portfolios State Street Global Advisors, the asset management business of State Street Corporation (NYSE: STT), today announced the launch of the SPDR ® Portfolio Treasury ETF (SPTB) . SPTB further e...
2024-05-14 06:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...