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2023-09-29 05:56:04 ET U.S. Treasury returns are on track for the worst month this year, as the bond market selloff continued after the Federal Reserve signaled that interest rates would remain higher for longer. The recent selloff has pushed the 30-year yield ( US30Y ) to its ...
2023-09-28 13:30:00 ET Summary The history of the yield curve shows that it rises prior to rises in equity indices. The interpretation requires looking at the pricing and the impact of individual issues in the S&P 500. Energy, commodity and industrial issues have been risi...
2023-09-25 20:21:00 ET Summary Bond yields, which have been stagnant since peaking last October, finally broke above the trading range they’ve been in for all that time. Interest rates will peak at some point. When they do, it may or may not coincide with the onset of reces...
2023-09-14 05:20:00 ET Summary A hike from the ECB today may have limited impact, as a total of 25bp of tightening is already fully priced before year-end. Raising rates today would probably be largely interpreted as pulling forward that final hike, but the appetite to price in mo...
2023-09-13 13:00:00 ET Summary Some analysts who favor one or two indicators to forecast US recessions have had a rough year. For now, the probability that a recession has started, or is about to start, remains low, based on another indicator featured in The US Business Cycle Risk...
2023-09-06 03:15:00 ET Summary We rationalise why US longer tenor rates are rising – basically, the curve is inverted and getting used to discounting structurally higher rates. If so, reversion to a normal curve must mean dis-inversion from the back end. When something ...
2023-09-02 01:55:00 ET Summary Elevated stock market valuations, coupled with higher bond yields, have driven the equity risk premium to near 20-year lows. The lofty valuations, while not contagious to the entire equity market, don’t seemingly reflect heightened recession r...
2023-09-01 11:34:37 ET More on SPDR Portfolio Intermediate Term Treasury ETF State Street Global Advisors lowers total expense ratio on 10 ETFs Seeking Alpha’s Quant Rating on SPDR Portfolio Intermediate Term Treasury ETF Dividend scorecard for SPDR Portfolio ...
2023-08-28 15:55:00 ET Summary The economic debate shifted gears with diminishing concerns about a recession, leading U.S. long-term Treasury yields to rise sharply. The net result was a less inverted U.S. yield curve, not because short-term interest rates fell, but because long-t...
2023-08-23 21:05:00 ET Summary A rising Yield Curve is what we are seeing today. The turn higher began after hitting what appears to be the low point,-1.89%, on May 4, 2023. Consensus opinion is that investing is all about calling the bottom in the S&P 500 or some other asset ...
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2024-06-03 04:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
New ETF Provides Cost-Effective, Broad Treasury Exposure to Customize Bond Portfolios State Street Global Advisors, the asset management business of State Street Corporation (NYSE: STT), today announced the launch of the SPDR ® Portfolio Treasury ETF (SPTB) . SPTB further e...
2024-05-14 06:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...