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2024-04-19 03:05:00 ET Summary The only aspect of consistency in the market’s outlook for rate cuts lately has been pushing the expected date forward. Recent history falls in line with this trend and September is now seen as the earliest date for policy easing. Fed fund...
2024-04-18 14:00:00 ET Summary Recent trends indicate a resurgence in bond implied volatility on a global basis, with U.S. interest rates leading the charge. Currently, U.S. rates are at their highest level of the year, and have returned to current-cycle highs of last year across ...
2024-04-18 13:00:00 ET Summary While the US national debt exceeds $34 trillion, it isn't necessarily a problem for investors. The US has more assets than liabilities, and much of its debt is domestically owned. US Treasuries are among the safest, most liquid assets in the worl...
2024-04-18 06:00:00 ET Summary Bowing to recent data, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Tuesday conceded that inflation progress has stalled and the case for rate cuts has weakened. The Treasury market has been effectively making the same case for weeks, but when the top c...
2024-04-18 04:00:00 ET Summary Although no rate cuts yet, the Federal Reserve is considering reducing the pace of quantitative tightening (QT). The Fed’s ultimate goal is to have only Treasuries on its balance sheet. The reduction in the Fed’s securities holdings...
2024-04-17 08:45:00 ET Summary Economic reflation is becoming the next bullish narrative as equity valuation increases continue to outpace earnings gains, at least according to Goldman Sachs and Tony Pasquariello. Interest rates, gold, and commodity prices have increased in the pa...
2024-04-17 05:00:00 ET Summary Inflation cooled substantially last year, but upside surprises in early 2024 for the US and Europe have many investors concerned that the path back to normal has hit a roadblock. Fighting inflation is a long game, and global central banks seem to be ...
2024-04-17 04:00:00 ET Summary The FOMC has been using a varied set of targets for monetary policy, but the relevance of these data points is questioned. The FOMC has shifted away from specific metrics and adopted a more ambiguous strategy, focusing on caution and confidence. ...
2024-04-16 13:45:00 ET Summary Despite likely Fed rate cuts this year, U.S. government bond yields have risen on the back of stronger-than-anticipated economic performance. Although inflation over the first quarter came in slightly higher than expected, encouraging signals from fo...
2024-04-16 11:00:00 ET Summary The initial market reaction to Iran's attack on Israel was measured, with S&P 500 Index futures trading up 0.3%. Historically, geopolitical events have generally led to modest selloffs in equity models and a flight to safety in bond markets, with...
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2024-05-04 12:16:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-24 18:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-01-11 16:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...