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2024-03-25 11:20:00 ET Summary As the calendar turned to January, however, market participants appeared to start taking their cues not so much from changing inflation and central bank policy expectations, but from updated and improving data on economic growth. Equities rallied eve...
2024-03-25 08:20:00 ET Summary The dollar was up a little more than 1% last week and the short-term trend is on the cusp of changing. Stocks, large and small, had a good week as bonds rallied in the wake of the FOMC meeting. The rally last week was broad based with 10 of 11 ec...
2024-03-24 16:00:00 ET Summary The S&P 500 made a decisive break higher after several weeks of consolidation. A bullish month and quarter are likely to close near the highs. Where dips need to hold next week to keep the trend intact. The S&P 500 (SPY) made an...
2024-03-23 08:05:00 ET Summary The Bank of Japan lifted its interest rate target for the first time in 17 years. The Swiss National Bank became the first G10 central bank to cut rates. The PBOC relented and allowed the dollar to rise above the CNY7.20 cap that has held it back...
2024-03-23 06:30:00 ET Summary Based on the valuation measures, we find best correlated with actual subsequent S&P 500 total returns across a century of market cycles. Because stocks are ultimately a claim on future cash flows that must be delivered over time, higher starting ...
2024-03-23 05:59:45 ET Summary It's a challenge to have confidence that Powell and the Fed have a sound understanding of the nature of second round inflation effects. With market exuberance running sky-high, it's not the optimal environment for reinforcing the notion of a Fed cock...
2024-03-23 03:45:00 ET Summary The implications for bonds as the Fed pledges to stay the course on rate cuts. The balancing act between anticipated rate cuts and economic strength. The Fed's steady as she goes approach to rates and inflation. ... Read the f...
2024-03-23 03:35:00 ET Summary It’s typical for risk assets to rally when central banks pause rate hiking efforts and finally start easing policy. Eventually, the reason they start easing come to dominate headlines and thwart soft landing hopes. Higher interest rates and yi...
2024-03-23 02:55:00 ET Summary With a resilient economy and sticky inflation, expect policymakers to choose caution over speed. Despite recent inflation data surprising to the upside and breaking from the end-of-year trend, we have long held that the path to target inflation would...
2024-03-23 02:15:00 ET Summary After growing 3.2 percent in the fourth quarter last year (and 3.1 percent for 2023 overall), the median FOMC projection for 2024 real GDP growth is 2.1 percent. With that higher growth estimate came expectations of somewhat stickier inflation, with ...
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2024-06-15 23:02:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-27 02:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-17 00:10:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...