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2024-03-30 09:30:00 ET Summary The macroeconomic and geopolitical developments have not changed substantially over the past month. For all practical purposes, the eurozone and UK economies are stagnant, but the respective central banks also do not appear in any hurry to begin easi...
2024-03-30 08:38:23 ET Summary The January core PCE data spiked by 0.5%, after the revision - that's significant. The February core PCE confirms that inflationary pressures are building. Thus, the Fed is unlikely to cut in June, and the stock market could sharply correct if th...
2024-03-30 05:58:04 ET Summary Financial conditions loosened further, building on the Fed's Q4 dovish pivot. For the quarter, the S&P 500 returned (price and dividends) 10.55%. While 10-year Treasury yields jumped 32 bps during Q1 to 4.20%, corporate Credit notably outperf...
2024-03-30 02:45:00 ET Summary The core PCE price index, the inflation index that the Fed is focused on and refers to all the time, was revised up for January to an annualized month-to-month growth rate of 5.6%. In February, on top of those upwardly revised figures for January, th...
2024-03-29 23:30:00 ET Summary When inflation picked back up in January 2024, many commentators described it as more noise than signal. The Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCEPI), which is the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, grew at a contin...
2024-03-29 11:31:17 ET Summary Troubling trends in goods inflation and a rebound in energy prices challenge the goal of reaching a 2% inflation target. The February PCE report shows revisions that are not favorable, with higher core PCE and a significant jump in goods inflation. ...
2024-03-29 04:58:00 ET Summary Corporate pre-tax profits in all non-financial domestic industries combined jumped by 5.6% in Q4 from Q3. The BEA’s measure of corporate profits tracks profits from current production by all businesses that have to file corporate tax returns, ...
2024-03-28 22:03:34 ET Summary M2 money stock has been declining since spring 2022, but over the past four years it has shown a massive amount of growth. Long-term growth of M2 money stock is historically large at a compound 8.0% annually, despite recent declines. Money seems ...
2024-03-28 15:10:00 ET Summary Although the S&P 500 is ending the week little changed (as of this writing it is trading 7 bps higher today), yesterday's gain came in at a more impressive 86 bps. Besides the size of the move higher was that the gain occurred on very strong brea...
2024-03-28 09:35:00 ET Summary In the US 2024 presidential elections, President Biden will stand for re-election, while former President Trump will challenge him. Several notable third-party (or “no-label”) candidates will also be on many state ballots and could prove di...
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2024-06-15 23:02:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-27 02:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-17 00:10:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...