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2024-04-04 16:25:00 ET Summary Too many companies with solid earnings growth haven’t been rewarded in narrow equity markets. That may be about to change. The market’s resilience reflects a potential turning point for equity investors, in our view. Our research in...
2024-04-04 14:20:00 ET Summary The broadest measure of economic activity, growth in real GDP, slowed in the fourth quarter. The U-3 unemployment rate has edged higher from last April (3.4 percent) to February (3.9 percent). In a no-landing scenario, the unemployment rate would...
2024-04-04 10:36:26 ET Summary Market and economic forecasts that predict a burst in bubbles or no rate cuts by the Fed are the mortar used to build the wall of worry. The ADP payroll report showed an increase in jobs and pay, but the overall trend still suggests a softening labor...
2024-04-04 08:20:00 ET Summary The Top 10 stocks within the market cap-weighted index together accounted for 32.5% of its total valuation. Microsoft has become the biggest company in the S&P 500 with a market cap of nearly $3.3 trillion as of 28 March 2024, rising from a $2.79...
2024-04-04 04:40:00 ET Summary I think the Great Financial Crisis did something nasty to our perceptions of the world - it reset our expectations permanently lower. In the last few years, RGDP has averaged just 2.2%. More recently, GDPNow is expected to come in at 2.8% based o...
2024-04-04 03:25:00 ET Summary Inflation pressures remain quite subdued; disinflation is still in place. The market continues to harbor a long-ingrained reflex that says that in order for inflation to decline, the economy needs to weaken. Low and declining inflation and modera...
2024-04-03 18:05:56 ET Summary In comments today, Fed Chair Jay Powell emphasized patience when it comes to cutting rates, while maintaining policy is restrictive. The market disagrees with Powell's view on monetary policy being restrictive, as inflation swaps and breakevens trend...
2024-04-03 14:45:00 ET Summary The March ISM services index was weaker than predicted while price pressures moderated to four-year lows. With employment remaining in contraction territory this report should boost the case for interest rate cuts, but the breakdown in the relationsh...
2024-04-03 13:45:00 ET Summary Nearly 100% of US equity valuations are at or near all-time record overpricings, while many reliable signals of upcoming market behavior have approached or surpassed all-time record extremes. Investors are ignoring these extremes in the market. In th...
2024-04-03 08:30:00 ET Summary The difference in performance between the most expensive and cheapest stocks reflects a rotation from growth to value. Historically, moderate and high inflationary environments have favored value stocks relative to growth. We see opportunities in...
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2024-06-15 23:02:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-27 02:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-17 00:10:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...