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2024-04-10 12:35:10 ET Summary March CPI and core CPI came in higher than expected, burying the rate cut narrative. The disinflation process is dead, with core CPI rising at a faster rate than previous months. Expectations for higher CPI in the coming months will likely lead t...
2024-04-10 12:30:00 ET Summary Perceptions change with each new data point and each new comment from central bankers. I believe June is the month to watch. I expect the US Federal Reserve, the Bank of Canada, and the European Central Bank to cut rates in June, and the Bank of Engl...
2024-04-10 07:20:00 ET Summary In the most recent report from FINRA, margin debt levels have surged as bullish investors leverage their bets in the equity market. The increase in leverage is not surprising, as it represents increased risk-taking by investors in the stock market. ...
2024-04-10 07:00:00 ET Summary Given the backup of US rates and the stronger-than-expected jobs growth, the greenback's performance has been unimpressive. The Hang Seng (1.85%) and the mainland companies that trade there (2.06%) led the region. Benchmark 10-year yields are mos...
2024-04-10 05:12:00 ET Summary US credit card debt topped $1.34 trillion in February, significantly above the cycle tops of around $900 billion in 2008 and 2020. New car loans (5-year term) at 8.22% are above the 2007 rate peak. Corporate bankruptcy filings have been leaping s...
2024-04-10 01:25:00 ET Summary The Fed will have to keep interest rates high to meet its inflation target but give up on maintaining financial stability, or else it can cut interest rates to stabilize the financial system. The Fed’s predicament stems from the fact that it k...
2024-04-09 19:30:00 ET Summary While the NFIB index was expected to tick up to 89.9 from 89.4 in February, it instead dropped to 88.5. That is the weakest reading since December 2012. Of the inputs to the Optimism index, only two rose month-over-month. Of those falling categories,...
2024-04-09 07:18:00 ET Summary Broad-based global economic indicators have clearly improved in the past three-to-six months, and this has happened as inflation has come down. The major DM central banks might not have started their easing cycle yet, but the underlying thrust of glo...
2024-04-09 07:00:00 ET Summary Yields are likely to remain elevated, with the prospects of a 0.3% US core CPI print on Wednesday. One of the market’s – and the Fed’s – challenges remains the discrepancy between strength in official data and weakness in ...
2024-04-09 06:00:00 ET Summary During the March FOMC meeting, the Committee held its target rate range constant at 5.25-5.5% and released a new Summary of Economic Projections, which reaffirmed that it expected to make three rate cuts in 2024. Since that meeting, it appears that t...
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2024-06-15 23:02:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-27 02:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-17 00:10:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...