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2024-07-05 13:35:00 ET Summary The U-3 unemployment rate increased to 4.1 percent in June 2024. The Sahm Rule, developed by former Fed economist Claudia Sahm, is designed to identify the start of a recession using changes in the total unemployment rate. If the labor force grow...
2024-07-05 12:29:01 ET Summary The June jobs report shows a weakening labor market with a rising unemployment rate and slowing job growth. Initial jobless claims and continuing claims are at or near one-year highs, indicating increased layoffs. Unemployment among college-educa...
2024-07-05 12:15:36 ET Summary June job report weaker than previous months, with downward revisions and low private payrolls. Unemployment rate rises to 4.1%, signaling potential economic changes and increasing odds of recession. Yield curve steepening as unemployment rate inc...
2024-07-05 12:05:00 ET Summary Jobs growth is cooling, particularly in the private sector, and the unemployment rate has now broken above 4%, which is helping to keep wages in check. With inflation also looking better behaved the chances of a September interest rate cut from the F...
2024-07-05 10:12:15 ET Summary June payrolls slightly beat expectations at 206,000, but lower than the previous month, with a significant increase in government positions. The unemployment rate rose to 4.1%, the highest since November 2021. The market response was modest, with...
2024-07-05 04:05:00 ET Summary US payroll numbers have continuously surprised expectations to the upside, yet soft data keeps pointing at a weakening labour market. A consensus reading or lower would help build a Fed cutting narrative for September, helping both US and euro rates ...
2024-07-05 03:45:00 ET Summary The speed and magnitude of the surge in consumer prices resulted in a sizeable decline in real (inflation-adjusted) wage growth. Inflation cooled quickly following the initial surge and by June 2023 was trending a bit above 3 percent. While real ...
2024-07-04 13:00:00 ET Summary While the US national debt is pushing $35 trillion, it isn't necessarily a problem for investors. The US has more assets than liabilities, and much of its debt is domestically owned. Investors probably won't lose their appetite for US Treasuries,...
2024-07-04 12:30:00 ET Summary The French election: I discuss the investment implications of three possible scenarios: a far-right majority, a far-left majority, and a temporary administrative solution. We received two important data points that could bring us closer to the long-a...
2024-07-04 11:36:24 ET Summary Technology stocks led the market rally, with Nvidia and Broadcom up over 4% after Nancy Pelosi disclosed purchases in both names. Despite weaker economic reports, investors are optimistic about potential rate cuts by the Fed to combat slowing economi...
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2024-03-30 07:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-10 01:52:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-01-27 06:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...