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2024-04-17 14:10:46 ET Summary The S&P 500 has pulled back 4% from recent highs, but it's not due to geopolitical tension. Rates, the dollar, yen, and oil are not reflecting typical flight to safety characteristics. Markets are correcting for their massive blunder. T...
2024-04-17 07:25:00 ET Summary On Apr. 15, the market closed 3.7% below its previous peak - a drawdown that’s irrelevant in the grand scheme of market history for peak-to-trough declines. Every bear market starts with a relatively soft, innocuous slide, however, so there...
2024-04-17 05:00:00 ET Summary Inflation cooled substantially last year, but upside surprises in early 2024 for the US and Europe have many investors concerned that the path back to normal has hit a roadblock. Fighting inflation is a long game, and global central banks seem to be ...
2024-04-17 04:00:00 ET Summary The FOMC has been using a varied set of targets for monetary policy, but the relevance of these data points is questioned. The FOMC has shifted away from specific metrics and adopted a more ambiguous strategy, focusing on caution and confidence. ...
2024-04-17 03:45:00 ET Summary While the U.S. remained a net debtor to the world in aggregate because foreign central banks still owned sizeable amounts of U.S. Treasuries, it became a sizeable net creditor to the private sector globally. As a share of gross domestic product, the ...
2024-04-16 14:15:00 ET Summary Wage growth is temporarily stuck in the 6% area and that’s another reason to think the Bank of England will wait until August to cut rates for the first time, despite signs of a cooling jobs market. The latest jobs report is a nuanced one, but...
2024-04-16 13:45:00 ET Summary Despite likely Fed rate cuts this year, U.S. government bond yields have risen on the back of stronger-than-anticipated economic performance. Although inflation over the first quarter came in slightly higher than expected, encouraging signals from fo...
2024-04-16 11:00:00 ET Summary The initial market reaction to Iran's attack on Israel was measured, with S&P 500 Index futures trading up 0.3%. Historically, geopolitical events have generally led to modest selloffs in equity models and a flight to safety in bond markets, with...
2024-04-16 10:30:00 ET Summary The rise in rates last week pushed the 10-year to its highest level since the peak at 5% in October of last year. Gold has been setting new highs, trading above $2400 at one point on Friday before succumbing to some profit taking. Year-to-date, t...
2024-04-16 09:35:00 ET Summary Retail sales in March increased by 0.7% seasonally adjusted, with a year-over-year jump of 4.0%. Ecommerce, food services, miscellaneous retailers, and general merchandise retailers were the biggest drivers of growth. Some brick-and-mortar retail...
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