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2024-04-26 02:30:00 ET Summary Money Supply is a very important indicator that helps show how tight or loose current monetary conditions are, regardless of what the Fed is doing with interest rates. Money Supply should dip some heading into the summer before rebounding later in th...
2024-04-25 20:10:00 ET Summary This week's AAII Sentiment Survey saw only 32.1% of respondents report as bullish, the lowest percentage since 11/2/23. Given the drop in bulls, bears have picked up to 34%. However, that reading was little changed week-over-week, with a modest 0.1 p...
2024-04-25 15:50:00 ET Summary Alternative data points to a continued slow pace of normalization in services inflation that could keep interest rates higher for longer. The persistence of themes like AI has contributed both to high equity index concentration and strong performance...
2024-04-25 13:22:56 ET Summary The soft landing narrative is dead as GDP growth falls below expectations and inflation rises. Traders are removing rate cuts from the outlook, leading to higher nominal Treasury rates and a stronger dollar. Rising rates and tightening financial ...
2024-04-25 09:55:00 ET Summary Assets in U.S.-listed exchange traded funds have grown over the last five years, but ETFs still represent a small fraction of overall U.S. financial markets. ETFs represented 9.3% of equity assets in Europe and 1.8% of fixed income assets in Europe i...
2024-04-25 09:10:00 ET Summary Over short time periods, such as a few quarters or a couple of years, productivity correlates very strongly with gross domestic product. Total output drives the market opportunity of companies. Total output is simply labor productivity multiplied...
2024-04-24 19:20:00 ET Summary Bank of America projects that the United States will have a debt of $34 trillion by year-end. According to our Treasury Dept., we spent $429 billion on interest payments alone in the last year. The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) states th...
2024-04-24 14:55:00 ET Summary Consumption continued to drive growth in the first quarter. We expect a continuation of broad growth, particularly in the United States. All in, we believe developed markets should continue to grow by 2%-plus on a sustainable basis. ... ...
2024-04-24 13:40:00 ET Summary Given the significant reversal in sentiment and short-term oversold conditions, we highly suspect the markets will provide a reflexive rally soon. Despite the current “panic” in the media headlines, this is likely just a correction with...
2024-04-24 12:45:00 ET Summary The US economy appears on track to post softer growth in the first-quarter GDP report scheduled for release on Thursday. The key debate is whether the economy will stabilize at a softer pace of growth vs. decelerate further in the months ahead. A...
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