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2024-05-07 04:45:00 ET Summary April was a rough month for investors, but the rebound in asset prices in the early days of May has revived expectations that the worst has passed. Deceleration in economic activity could come back to bite if the slowdown has substantial downside mom...
2024-05-07 01:28:42 ET Summary The Federal Reserve uses the Federal Funds Rate to manage inflation by influencing borrowing and reducing demand for loans. Higher interest rates result in increased interest expenses for the overall economy. The US has a debt to GDP ratio of abo...
2024-05-06 21:30:00 ET Summary I am sure we will have more corrections in 2024, but as far as the April edition is concerned, it appears to be over, with the Fed Chairman sounding dovish in his FOMC press conference last week. The Treasury market cooperated, with the 10-year yield...
2024-05-06 11:20:42 ET Roth MKM said Monday that despite the rise in the S&P 500 ( SP500 ) over the past week, investors should still exercise caution when looking at overall market. Specifically, the firm argued that the benchmark index might be merely consolidating set up in a bro...
2024-05-06 11:00:00 ET Summary Most market analysis is centered around news and economic events. Yet, markets often react opposite of common expectations. We could be setting up a 25% decline in 2024. The market rallied over 1% on Friday on a much worse than expe...
2024-05-06 10:15:00 ET Summary We look to incoming data to determine where the Federal Reserve will go, rather than its policy signals. Solid corporate earnings keep us overweight U.S. stocks. U.S. stocks clawed higher thanks to earnings beating expectations, even as the Fed meeti...
2024-05-06 09:35:00 ET Summary The IMF upgraded US growth forecasts for 2024 by +0.6% of GDP, and Chinese PMIs are back to expansion. There aren’t any bad EM stories right now, with almost all of the typical problem cases in EM making meaningful policy adjustments. The ...
2024-05-06 09:30:10 ET Summary Despite near-term challenges and increased volatility, the S&P 500 rally is expected to continue. The technical analysis suggests a positive trend for the SPX, but a breakout above resistance is needed for further confirmation. The odds of a ...
2024-05-06 09:18:00 ET Summary In April, employers added 175,000 payroll jobs – excluding farm workers and the self-employed – a slower pace from the upwardly revised March estimate of 315,000 additions, which had been huge. The BLS bases its employment and unemploym...
2024-05-06 09:00:00 ET Summary The new reported job growth was considered a 'miss' in that it came in below expectations, and for the first time in months, the media did not declare the jobs report to be 'a blowout' or 'strong.' If we look more closely at this report, what we real...
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